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Cash for Clunkers - Good or Bad Idea?

4110 messages,  Last post on Nov 23, 2009 at 11:42 AM

You are in the Automotive News & Views Forum. Your Hosts are steve_ & claires

What is this discussion about? Legislation, Truck, Sedan, Wagon, SUV

For questions about how the program works or to discuss program details, please visit our discussion titled, "Cash for Clunkers - Does it Work for You?"


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#3976 of 4110
Re: Cash for Clunkers for the Rich ! [steve_] by gagrice
Nov 01, 2009 (7:19 pm)
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Replying to: steve_ (Nov 01, 2009 7:11 pm)

So the University of Delaware agrees with Edmund's that the program was a big waste of money. Just from the green angle. I don't see any way you can spin it as a good thing unless you are directly in the line that the Congress was throwing the money. The buyers that unloaded a worthless POC. The car dealers that unloaded old inventory. The rest of US got the shaft.
#3977 of 4110
Re: Cash for Clunkers for the Rich ! [gagrice] by steve_ HOST
Nov 01, 2009 (7:28 pm)
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Replying to: gagrice (Nov 01, 2009 7:19 pm)

Unfortunately I didn't see a free link for the whole study; it sounds like the assumptions made were reasonable. It's not clear that social costs were addressed (the unemployment, food stamp and bankruptcy argument).
 
It's a "better" number than Edmunds' $24,000 at least.
#3978 of 4110
Re: Cash for Clunkers for the Rich ! [steve_] by gagrice
Nov 01, 2009 (8:00 pm)
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Replying to: steve_ (Nov 01, 2009 7:28 pm)

The Uof D study was based on a different premise. That of how much fuel will be saved. Your boss was looking at how many actual car sales were gained. Our resident car salesman took an average month which is not a true picture. He should have taken the same months from last year with the average percentage of sales lost. If the overall sales are down 34% for the year you would look at July and August of last year to determine the sales for this year. It is very difficult to analyze with any real accuracy. We still have to look at the year as a whole.
 
Edmunds.com analysts predict that August’s Seasonally Adjusted Annualized Rate (SAAR) could be just over 13 million, this year’s highest by far. However, a week-by-week analysis reveals that this summer has been the industry’s most volatile period in history, due to the government’s Car Allowance Rebate System (CARS), also known as Cash for Clunkers.
 
“Cash for Clunkers sent the sales rate on a wild roller coaster ride,” said Edmunds.com Senior Analyst Jessica Caldwell. “The SAAR surpassed 19 million in late July, bounced around in the 15 million range early in August and has fallen to around eight million currently. Ending August on such a low note does not bode well for September.”

 
I don't think anyone in their right mind would try to say C4C did not have a strong impact on Vehicle sales while it lasted. I just believe the negatives outweigh the positives by a large margin. Way less than 1% of the population was a beneficiary of the rest of US.
#3979 of 4110
Re: White House and Obama lash out at Edmunds for CFC info ! [gagrice] by plekto
Nov 01, 2009 (8:36 pm)
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Replying to: gagrice (Nov 01, 2009 7:07 pm)

The amount of money from that $3 billion of our future tax dollars will never be returned as taxes.
 
Actually, it's not even that. The Government just creates the money and makes it on credit. No tax dollars actually spent(though the value of the dollar lowers in response a tiny bit)
#3980 of 4110
it's all good by nbdeuce
Nov 02, 2009 (3:01 am)
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Some of the positive spin by your friendly local car sales people within this thread is bordering convincing, the folks who buy into the spin are the same folks who have gotten us into the mess we are presently in. I do admit the tax dollars covering this scheme along with the vast moneys eventually required to fully administer the whole thing is but a drop in the bucket. THE BIGGER PICTURE is what we need to focus on! We've allowed ourselves to believe in perpetual prosperity while watching the countries unchecked levels of depth get pushed out infinitumly. The talking heads need to be ignored and common sense must prevail. All of this bail-out money was/is needed, YES! Unfortunately it's not just required as a temporary stimulus injection, it's put in place to keep the house of cards from totally imploding..........I've been called a neocon, doomsdayer and much worst, so be it. As long as I avoid Mr kool-Aid drinker, all's well.
 
BTW, C4C's as been a great success for my family. Our 200,000 mile Buick which was purchased with cash(savings) 9 years ago needs to be retired, Now we're shopping for a new ride with cash(savings) in hand but of course no deals to be found in my neighborhood, all dealers are flush at the moment and want sticker for their cars.
#3981 of 4110
Re: White House and Obama lash out at Edmunds for CFC info ! [kdhspyder] by srs_49
Nov 02, 2009 (5:17 am)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Nov 01, 2009 6:30 pm)

What money are you talking about? The $20,000 spent on a new car, or the $4,000 rebate? You say "So what happened to the $4000? Follow the money", then launch into a speculative discourse as to where the $20,000 went.
 
Then there are all the accessories and aftermarket purchases made by those 690,000 buyers. These workers saw a HUGE bump in income meaning that the Feds and states took upwards of 50% of their gross income as well.
 
Everybody that buys a new car for $30K is going to go out and accessorize it? Right!
 
Then....of the extra money received by all these parties consider how may dinners and presents and outfits and vacations were purchased all of which flowed downstream from this 6 week boost
 
Or, maybe they took the money and paid down some of their debt. That's as good an explanation (guess) of where the money went as yours.
#3982 of 4110
Just say NO to C4C repeats.... by gagrice
Nov 02, 2009 (7:10 am)
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Not everyone is exuberant about money wasted on failed government welfare programs like C4C
 
#3983 of 4110
Re: White House and Obama lash out at Edmunds for CFC info ! [kdhspyder] by newdavidq
Nov 02, 2009 (7:43 am)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Nov 01, 2009 6:30 pm)

News item: (AP, not Fox news)
 
ap
Ford surprises with $1B profit; sees profit in '11
Ford surprises with earnings of nearly $1B in 3rd qtr; forecasts 'solidly profitable' 2011
 
 Looks like some of the money went to Ford (Chrysler and GM too).
 
Gosh, I wonder if the government might think it would be a good idea to do another CFC.
 
#3984 of 4110
Re: White House and Obama lash out at Edmunds for CFC info ! [gagrice] by kdhspyder
Nov 02, 2009 (11:12 am)
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Replying to: gagrice (Nov 01, 2009 5:23 pm)

What both you and vinnyny miss is that since auto sales are almost always done on a commission basis the tax rates for a commissioned sales person or manager varies from month to month.
 
It is absolutely true that from the end of 2008 to June of 09 auto sales were in the pits and those that survived barely did so. Auto sales people with very few exceptions make much more than $30000 in these horrendous times. That's about $2500 per month. However when a sudden bonanza comes along out of the blue and that $2500 month becomes a $10000 month the withholding for that person jumps up as if he or she made $10000 every month.
 
If the typical sales person was being taxed at 15% in withholdings but suddenly hits a $10000 month the withholding rate jumps up to 30-35% or more. Uncle Sam wants his share of the bonanza right away. If the month is a $12000 or $15000 month then our Uncle gets even more. Then there's state and FICA withholdings to be considered as well. Normally these are fixed rates. But 6% and 15% of a $10000 month is a lot more going back to the States/Feds than of a $2000 month.
 
Where did the money from the Tax Credit go? It's pretty easy to find it if you understand the process. Mainly the money stayed at the local level at the dealerships, sales personnel, managers, their suppliers and the junkyards that took in the dead clunkers. The elegance of this program is that it put money into system right at the point of sale so that it would be used immediately and turned over immediately downstream to other small businesses. A good part of the money was immediately sent back to State and Federal treasuries in the form of Sales taxes and increased withholdings.
#3985 of 4110
Re: White House and Obama lash out at Edmunds for CFC info ! [gagrice] by kdhspyder
Nov 02, 2009 (11:16 am)
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Replying to: gagrice (Nov 01, 2009 7:07 pm)

The application of the tax credit rebate is a state issue. Take it up with your local authorities. In this area rebates are always deducted after the application of the tax rate so the states get the full rate on the full transaction price.

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