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Cash for Clunkers - Good or Bad Idea?

4110 messages,  Last post on Nov 23, 2009 at 11:42 AM

You are in the Automotive News & Views Forum. Your Hosts are steve_ & claires

What is this discussion about? Legislation, Truck, Sedan, Wagon, SUV

For questions about how the program works or to discuss program details, please visit our discussion titled, "Cash for Clunkers - Does it Work for You?"


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#3973 of 4110
Re: White House and Obama lash out at Edmunds for CFC info ! [gagrice] by vinnyny
Nov 01, 2009 (6:40 pm)
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Replying to: gagrice (Nov 01, 2009 5:23 pm)

Typical state sales tax rate 5%
Typical Fed/State Marginal tax rate 25%
Typical Fed/State Business tax rate 30-40%

 
Good response. Does he really think that the average Joe working at the local Chevy dealer will pay a dime under the marginal tax rate? Does he really think that any of the domestic automakers are going to pay a dime under the 30-40% business tax rate?
 
News flash (on CNN if you prefer): 98% of car salesmen not selling something from Italy or Germany won't have to worry about the 25% marginal tax bracket this year. Many car dealers have trimmed back sales staffs because they're tired of watching them twiddle their thumbs. As to the business tax rate, all of the automakers and most of their dealers are awash in a sea of red ink. 30-40% of profit equals zero tax revenue.
#3974 of 4110
Re: White House and Obama lash out at Edmunds for CFC info ! [vinnyny] by gagrice
Nov 01, 2009 (7:07 pm)
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Replying to: vinnyny (Nov 01, 2009 6:40 pm)

You are exactly right. The amount of money from that $3 billion of our future tax dollars will never be returned as taxes. Our resident sales person is trying to justify a boondoggle that gave a small boost to him and his colleagues and did little to help the economy over all. Just as the rest of the $787 billion recovery money has not and will not help enough to justify the deficit created.
 
He wants it both ways. He admits that most of the buyers were well heeled paying cash. other than tax in states that charged tax on the credit very little went to the states. In CA for example none of the C4C money is subject to sales tax. So CA will receive LESS in taxes as a result of the C4C Federal handout. And in most cases collect less in gas tax from the newer more efficient car. A big loser for most states. And those are the facts.
 
The "cash for clunkers" program, which kicked into gear over the weekend, is raising a couple of taxing issues for potential car buyers.
 
The program can lower the price of a new vehicle by $3,500 or $4,500, depending on the improvement in fuel economy versus the vehicle the buyer is trading in. Which raises the question: Are state and local sales taxes applied before or after the price reduction?
 
After, according to state tax officials. That would result in additional savings. For example, in Los Angeles, where the sales tax rate is 9.75%, lopping $3,500 off the purchase price of a vehicle would save a qualifying buyer $341.25 in sales tax.
#3975 of 4110
Re: Cash for Clunkers for the Rich ! [vinnyny] by steve_ HOST
Nov 01, 2009 (7:11 pm)
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Replying to: vinnyny (Nov 01, 2009 5:10 pm)

Here's a NY Times article that said the Corolla was the top seller. Edmunds says it was the Focus.
 
The chart on that link shows that GM and Ford got 32% of the clunker sales. Not exactly a loss.
 
Back to the per car cost, here's a story about a Delaware study stating that the Cash for Cunkers cost was approximately $2000 per vehicle. This one factors in mpg. (Green Car Congress)
#3976 of 4110
Re: Cash for Clunkers for the Rich ! [steve_] by gagrice
Nov 01, 2009 (7:19 pm)
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Replying to: steve_ (Nov 01, 2009 7:11 pm)

So the University of Delaware agrees with Edmund's that the program was a big waste of money. Just from the green angle. I don't see any way you can spin it as a good thing unless you are directly in the line that the Congress was throwing the money. The buyers that unloaded a worthless POC. The car dealers that unloaded old inventory. The rest of US got the shaft.
#3977 of 4110
Re: Cash for Clunkers for the Rich ! [gagrice] by steve_ HOST
Nov 01, 2009 (7:28 pm)
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Replying to: gagrice (Nov 01, 2009 7:19 pm)

Unfortunately I didn't see a free link for the whole study; it sounds like the assumptions made were reasonable. It's not clear that social costs were addressed (the unemployment, food stamp and bankruptcy argument).
 
It's a "better" number than Edmunds' $24,000 at least.
#3978 of 4110
Re: Cash for Clunkers for the Rich ! [steve_] by gagrice
Nov 01, 2009 (8:00 pm)
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Replying to: steve_ (Nov 01, 2009 7:28 pm)

The Uof D study was based on a different premise. That of how much fuel will be saved. Your boss was looking at how many actual car sales were gained. Our resident car salesman took an average month which is not a true picture. He should have taken the same months from last year with the average percentage of sales lost. If the overall sales are down 34% for the year you would look at July and August of last year to determine the sales for this year. It is very difficult to analyze with any real accuracy. We still have to look at the year as a whole.
 
Edmunds.com analysts predict that August’s Seasonally Adjusted Annualized Rate (SAAR) could be just over 13 million, this year’s highest by far. However, a week-by-week analysis reveals that this summer has been the industry’s most volatile period in history, due to the government’s Car Allowance Rebate System (CARS), also known as Cash for Clunkers.
 
“Cash for Clunkers sent the sales rate on a wild roller coaster ride,” said Edmunds.com Senior Analyst Jessica Caldwell. “The SAAR surpassed 19 million in late July, bounced around in the 15 million range early in August and has fallen to around eight million currently. Ending August on such a low note does not bode well for September.”

 
I don't think anyone in their right mind would try to say C4C did not have a strong impact on Vehicle sales while it lasted. I just believe the negatives outweigh the positives by a large margin. Way less than 1% of the population was a beneficiary of the rest of US.
#3979 of 4110
Re: White House and Obama lash out at Edmunds for CFC info ! [gagrice] by plekto
Nov 01, 2009 (8:36 pm)
Reply

Replying to: gagrice (Nov 01, 2009 7:07 pm)

The amount of money from that $3 billion of our future tax dollars will never be returned as taxes.
 
Actually, it's not even that. The Government just creates the money and makes it on credit. No tax dollars actually spent(though the value of the dollar lowers in response a tiny bit)
#3980 of 4110
it's all good by nbdeuce
Nov 02, 2009 (3:01 am)
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Some of the positive spin by your friendly local car sales people within this thread is bordering convincing, the folks who buy into the spin are the same folks who have gotten us into the mess we are presently in. I do admit the tax dollars covering this scheme along with the vast moneys eventually required to fully administer the whole thing is but a drop in the bucket. THE BIGGER PICTURE is what we need to focus on! We've allowed ourselves to believe in perpetual prosperity while watching the countries unchecked levels of depth get pushed out infinitumly. The talking heads need to be ignored and common sense must prevail. All of this bail-out money was/is needed, YES! Unfortunately it's not just required as a temporary stimulus injection, it's put in place to keep the house of cards from totally imploding..........I've been called a neocon, doomsdayer and much worst, so be it. As long as I avoid Mr kool-Aid drinker, all's well.
 
BTW, C4C's as been a great success for my family. Our 200,000 mile Buick which was purchased with cash(savings) 9 years ago needs to be retired, Now we're shopping for a new ride with cash(savings) in hand but of course no deals to be found in my neighborhood, all dealers are flush at the moment and want sticker for their cars.
#3981 of 4110
Re: White House and Obama lash out at Edmunds for CFC info ! [kdhspyder] by srs_49
Nov 02, 2009 (5:17 am)
Reply

Replying to: kdhspyder (Nov 01, 2009 6:30 pm)

What money are you talking about? The $20,000 spent on a new car, or the $4,000 rebate? You say "So what happened to the $4000? Follow the money", then launch into a speculative discourse as to where the $20,000 went.
 
Then there are all the accessories and aftermarket purchases made by those 690,000 buyers. These workers saw a HUGE bump in income meaning that the Feds and states took upwards of 50% of their gross income as well.
 
Everybody that buys a new car for $30K is going to go out and accessorize it? Right!
 
Then....of the extra money received by all these parties consider how may dinners and presents and outfits and vacations were purchased all of which flowed downstream from this 6 week boost
 
Or, maybe they took the money and paid down some of their debt. That's as good an explanation (guess) of where the money went as yours.
#3982 of 4110
Just say NO to C4C repeats.... by gagrice
Nov 02, 2009 (7:10 am)
Reply
Not everyone is exuberant about money wasted on failed government welfare programs like C4C
 

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