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Cash for Clunkers - Good or Bad Idea?

4110 messages,  Last post on Nov 23, 2009 at 11:42 AM

You are in the Automotive News & Views Forum. Your Hosts are steve_ & claires

What is this discussion about? Legislation, Truck, Sedan, Wagon, SUV

For questions about how the program works or to discuss program details, please visit our discussion titled, "Cash for Clunkers - Does it Work for You?"


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#1500 of 4110
Re: Someone pays for it. [maryh3] by Mr_Shiftright HOST
Jul 09, 2009 (7:46 am)
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Replying to: maryh3 (Jul 09, 2009 7:43 am)

The Chinese already know this. Greenspan said that very thing on TV some years ago, when asked by a reporter as to when the US would have to repay these debts.
 
He said "never", because if China called them in, their economy would collapse as well as ours.
 
We call scratched our heads over that one, and said, quietly and in awe: "hey, wait a minute, that doesn't sound right".
#1501 of 4110
Re: Someone pays for it. [Mr_Shiftright] by maryh3
Jul 09, 2009 (7:51 am)
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Replying to: Mr_Shiftright (Jul 09, 2009 7:46 am)

They buy our treasuries to keep our interests rates low so we can buy more of their junk including cars. Perhaps that is why the Big 3 need to go under. If we buy American, we don't buy Chinese. If this happens they won't buy our treasuries anymore so we then see inflation and interest rates sky rocket.
 
Glad to know that when I take US C4C money to buy Japanese (who also own lots of US debt) that I am being very Patriotic afterall and helping America.
#1502 of 4110
Re: Someone pays for it. [maryh3] by kdhspyder
Jul 09, 2009 (8:12 am)
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Replying to: maryh3 (Jul 09, 2009 7:43 am)

China and our debt: Not at all. Every Administration and every Treasury Department simply rolls over the current debt when it comes due into new borrowings due 10 or 20 or 30 years down the road. It's never paid back - ever. We just pay interest on it. Now the interest expense does grow as the amount of debt grows.
 
Our economy always will grow. This current situation will pass and our native and imported creativity will design new and better ways to make money from sources that none of us can ever consider. As long as we don't lose our creativity and willingness to take risk then we will grow much faster than the interest expense.
 
C4C is a tiny tiny gift to the whole auto industry ( from steel and glass supplier to the cleanup crews at retail stores ) which will likely pay for itself in many ways over the next 5 years. I enumerated a few above. If I told you that we were going to spend $4 Billion today to save $6 Billion over 5 years would you be in favor of that?
 
Sorry your last paragraph is just more morality being injected into a business discussion about cold hard filthy money. It's out of place. Your moral viewpoint that we should leave well enough alone and keep the clunkers just as they for the sake on not producing new products is a 'let's go back to living on the farm and tilling our own fields with horse and oxen'.
 
In fact the reality is that these vehicles get recycled every day into steel beams, rebar, steel plate for construction, fasteners, and literally a million other uses. The expensive metals get resold and reused; ditto the glass, fabric and rubber.
 
Sorry no points for morality here. It's only business.
#1503 of 4110
Re: Someone pays for it. [kdhspyder] by maryh3
Jul 09, 2009 (8:48 am)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Jul 09, 2009 8:12 am)

The debt does grow. The percentage of the Total budget that is used to service that debt has gotten larger and larger over time. When it eats up about 75% of the total revenues the IRS collects - there won't be anything left to stimulate with.
 
As far as morality goes it is others saying we should bail out the Big 3 as a morality issue. Since when is bailing out with government money a "good business decision". Letting them go bankrupt is the better business decision.
 
It was you who first claimed "morality" because getting rid of bigger gas guzzlers in favor of more efficient was "better" in the long run. I simply countered your arguement.
 
Going back to horse and buggy is a personal choice. The issue changes when the government gets involved. Those who want to trade in perfectly good cars for newer more efficient ones are welcome to. But they should pay for it. Those who chose not to will pay at the gas punp. Both pollute equally and use up resources equally too.
#1504 of 4110
Re: I think the Cash for Clunkers Idea [kdhspyder] by andres3
Jul 09, 2009 (9:44 am)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Jun 26, 2009 5:29 pm)

First the money that was given to Chrysler and GM went back into the US economy. They didn't have a bonfire and set it ablaze. It went all over the place and likely kept a multitude of businesses afloat if only for a couple of more months ( Lear Corp ). It actually kept Chrysler and GM alive to fight another day as leaner companies with much better prospects of survival.
 
Your forgetting lost potential earnings. Since these scum sucking companies make no profits, they pay no taxes, and hence make no earnings. If they were real competent companies, they'd make a profit, and pay taxes. We'd of been better off letting these leeches on society die off than keeping them on life support.
 
It's not good for the US as a whole, because you are looking at the little picture. The big picture is the future, and this sets a terrible precedent. The key to success in US business is now to be as incompetent and reckless as possible, so that you are so bad that the government has to bail you out to survive. What a terrible way to bend the rules for the incompetent and reckless.
#1505 of 4110
Re: I think the Cash for Clunkers Idea [andres3] by steve_ HOST
Jul 09, 2009 (9:49 am)
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Replying to: andres3 (Jul 09, 2009 9:44 am)

If the propped up companies survive they will pay taxes (and their employees will continue to pay their income taxes).
 
If they fold, the jobs may go off-shore and the US will lose those potential tax revenues.
#1506 of 4110
Re: I think the Cash for Clunkers Idea [steve_] by dtownfb
Jul 09, 2009 (10:35 am)
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Replying to: steve_ (Jul 09, 2009 9:49 am)

Don't forget about the suppliers that would also collapse without GM and Chrysler. And the burden of the UAW pension fund on the federal government. Another million jobs lost. I guess it's easy for us to bad mouth this policy when the responsibility is not ours.
 
If this was 2006-07, I would tend to agree that bailing out GM and Chrysler makes no sense. But since it's 2009, the economy officially sucks (no you will not find this term in any economic book), unemployment continues to rise, foreclosures are still at record high which means banks (and the global market) are still on shaky ground....and the Mets are below .500. I forgot we have two wars going on in the Middle East; a lunatic in N. Korea; Ahminjined and his Pips are beating up their own people; and we all expected this to get better by summer...just like on TV and in the movies.
 
So instead of everyone complaining, what suggestions does everyone have for helping the auto industry? i hear people complaining all day on the 24 hour news stations but I have yet to hear any other good solutions.
#1507 of 4110
Re: Someone pays for it. [maryh3] by kdhspyder
Jul 09, 2009 (11:00 am)
Reply

Replying to: maryh3 (Jul 09, 2009 8:48 am)

First there are two questions here.
1. Bailouts to try to ensure the survival of the B2 and their suppliers and downstream operations.
2. The C4C program which is intended to give a 10% boost equally toward all segments of the auto industry from steel suppliers to aftermarket small businesses.
 
As far as morality goes it is others saying we should bail out the Big 3 as a morality issue. Since when is bailing out with government money a "good business decision". Letting them go bankrupt is the better business decision.
 
In the first question it is good business not to put hundreds of thousands of workers out of work if there is a reasonable expectation or even hope of the B2 recovering as smaller leaner companies. This isn't just the direct UAW workers but its also the workers at the suppliers to each of the B2 then the downstream workers at railroads and distribution points and dealerships. IF the plug had been pulled back in December every Chrysler and GM store in NA would have had to close. Every company that supplied these companies would have taken a massive hit. As it turns out there is now an uproar in Congress about a 20% reduction. Imagine if it was a 100% reduction.
 
  
It was you who first claimed "morality" because getting rid of bigger gas guzzlers in favor of more efficient was "better" in the long run. I simply countered your arguement.
 
The C4C program was designed by the auto industry but it will directly benefit every part of that industry with a 10% boost in business and tax revenues. It will partly pay for itself. Then as icing it will also save the nation $6-$12 Billion in the cost of money not spent on fuel. I don't attribute any morality or goodness to this benefit. It's just good business for the nation as a whole to spend less for fuel. We get to keep more of our money here rather than send it to Big Oil and help support producers who hate our way of life.
#1508 of 4110
Re: I think the Cash for Clunkers Idea [andres3] by kdhspyder
Jul 09, 2009 (11:21 am)
Reply

Replying to: andres3 (Jul 09, 2009 9:44 am)

Sorry your post is too filled with anger. It doesn't make any sense.
 
What lost potential earnings are you talking about and how does this relate to the subject at hand?
 
Yes the B2 were horribly run companies and lost money hand over fist for 10 years because they made bad decisions. So? They were private and that cost us nothing unless you were a shareholder. They didn't live off society in any way while they were losing all that money.
 
OK now they are wards of the state, temporarily. If they go public soon as planned and all or most of our money is recovered in the IPO then the investments were brilliant pieces of statemenship. Hundreds of thousands of jobs and business will have been saved.
 
Pull the plug you say. Next time there's a fire in your neighborhood...'Use pails'.
 
Your rant about the big picture and precedents is noted but actually you are missing the big picture. Small business and small banks are being closed and liquidated every day and every week. These have little effect on the economy individually. So there's no precedent at work here.
 
Now as regards the huge banks and huge industrial companies...that's dicier. There is a serious question about how large does a company have to be and how significant does it have to be before it must be saved? Bush/Paulson answered the question regarding the banking industry. Obama/Geithner answered the question regarding the industrial sector.
 
More control does need to be foreseen so that we don't end up in this situation again. But then the 'free marketers' will begin screaming 'GET GOVERNMENT OUT OF BUSINESS AND BANKING'.
 
However I've said it here many times....government and business are one-in-the-same. They aren't just related. They are a single entity. One can't survive without the other.
#1509 of 4110
Re: ... dammit, i WANT a small Diesel pickup [ldisler] by roland3
Jul 09, 2009 (11:25 am)
Reply

Replying to: ldisler (Jul 07, 2009 9:31 am)

... The trade side has to be '84 or newer, current registered/tagged, and does it need to have current insurance ???

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