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Were hybrids ever the silver bullet?

46 messages,  Last post on Mar 14, 2009 at 6:32 PM

You are in the Hybrid Vehicles Forum. Your Host is pf_flyer

What is this discussion about? Toyota Prius, Toyota Highlander Hybrid, Ford Escape Hybrid, Honda Civic, Chevrolet Malibu Hybrid, Mercury Mariner Hybrid, Saturn Aura Hybrid, Saturn VUE Hybrid, Nissan Altima Hybrid, Hybrid Cars, Coupe, Hatchback, Truck, Sedan, SUV


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#1 of 46
Were hybrids ever the silver bullet? by pf_flyer HOST
Dec 24, 2008 (10:37 am)
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http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=973967482&play=1
 
Interesting discussion on CNBC asking if hybrids are dead because of the complexity and expense involved.
 
If Toyota can't isn't making any money on the Prius, then is it just possible that something other than hybrid technology is the short term solution?
 
Interesting to hear an auto analyst say, "hybrids actually are not a very good way to improve fuel efficiency"
#2 of 46
Hybrids are this by larsb
Dec 24, 2008 (11:41 am)
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Hybrids are merely a stepping stone to better technologies involving batteries used in mass-market vehicles.
 
Without the last 15 years of Toyota technology being proven in the market, there would be no Volt, no Tesla, no MiEV, nothing.
 
Someone had to pave the way and show that it was marketable and technologically possible.
 
Thanks Toyota !!!!
#3 of 46
One minor detail by pf_flyer HOST
Dec 24, 2008 (12:24 pm)
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There's a difference between marketable and profitable... something that GM may discover with the Volt.
 
I agree that the current crop of hybrids is a stepping stone. What's really holding things up is advances in battery tech.
#4 of 46
Re: One minor detail [pf_flyer] by gagrice
Dec 25, 2008 (9:43 am)
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Replying to: pf_flyer (Dec 24, 2008 12:24 pm)

If Toyota is putting a $1000 on the hood of their Prius to sell them in the mid $20k range, how in the World will GM be able to sell a $40k Volt. GM claims even at that price it will be a big money loser. Well that seems to be all GM can sell is money losers.
 
Of course my contention has always been and even more so now that the hybrid technology is too complex for those of US that do not have long commutes. Longevity will be the killer for all battery powered vehicles. Facing a $10k to $15k replacement battery in a Plug-in or EV will not be something many will opt for. I would be more likely to buy a short range EV with lead acid or NiMH battery. Unless someone comes up with a better battery.
#5 of 46
Re: One minor detail [gagrice] by pf_flyer HOST
Dec 25, 2008 (4:57 pm)
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Replying to: gagrice (Dec 25, 2008 9:43 am)

Unless someone comes up with a better battery.
 
That would seem to be the key. And I'm with the analyst in that I think we can do a LOT better on mileage performance without having to resort to the complexity of a hybrid. For more than a few years now I've been wondering what has happened to the mileage we used to get out of small cars.
 
My 81 Versa got over 50mpg on the highway, but by '96 my Sentra was down to just over 40 on the highway, a 20% decrease.
 
But back on point, I think that right now the increased cost of hybrids vs conventional really weighs against them. And no, I'm not talking about "what you get for your money" kind of arguements, I'm talking about raw dollars. If I can spend $15K and get a new vehicle or $30K, guess which one I'm going to lean at right now.
#6 of 46
Honda & Toyota Lead the Way by railroadjames
Dec 27, 2008 (3:41 pm)
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Is it any wonder that Hybrids have become rock solid leaders when the price of gas went thru the roof. Those that took the plunge realized the value in short order. Is there anyone who doubts that the price of gas will not escalate in the very near future? Funny how we adjust to the prices in time. I remember when $1.60 was high not too long ago. Sometimes science & technology need a kick in the pants to get the ball rolling (like $5.00 gas). With nearly 100 K miles on my Prius of 6 yrs I must say that when fuel was absorbitently high, it didn't seem to be nearly as painful as it was for others. Silver bullitt ? Yes but more than that it was bold of hybrids to attain the level of problems solved that they have. Well, some problems solved and with the pathway broken more to come.
#7 of 46
Re: Honda & Toyota Lead the Way [railroadjames] by pf_flyer HOST
Dec 27, 2008 (5:26 pm)
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Replying to: railroadjames (Dec 27, 2008 3:41 pm)

But if Toyota isn't making any money on the Prius then I'm not seeing hybrids as the salvation of the automakers. It doesn't matter how many they sell if they're losing money on each one. Just like if it's going to take some kind of government "incentive" to try and "lower the price" of the Volt, I don't see how that helps GM at all.
Whether some folks love the technology or not is irrelevant if it's going to run companies into the ground.
#8 of 46
Re: Honda & Toyota Lead the Way [pf_flyer] by gagrice
Dec 27, 2008 (5:37 pm)
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Replying to: pf_flyer (Dec 27, 2008 5:26 pm)

It is hard to imagine that Toyota is not making money yet on the Prius. I would not want to buy any of the ones sitting in a yard for 100 days. That Big battery cannot be drained without permanent damage. Many people have left them for 2 weeks and they were dead when they got home. I do think they put a switch or something in to avoid that problem. Still a battery sitting out in the cold for an extended period will lose some of its potential.
 
It was an experiment that paid off for Toyota. It may help Ford with the Fusion. I would not look for Toyota to add any more hybrids to their lineup.
#9 of 46
Re: Honda & Toyota Lead the Way [gagrice] by pf_flyer HOST
Dec 28, 2008 (5:26 am)
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Replying to: gagrice (Dec 27, 2008 5:37 pm)

Hearing that the Prius wasn't making any money surprised me as well. If you can't turn a profit with what essentially is the poster child for hybrids, then I think it's legitimate to wonder if the expense and complexity of hybrids makes it difficult, if not impossible, to have hybrids be the key to the turnaround of the auto industry.
#10 of 46
Re: Honda & Toyota Lead the Way [pf_flyer] by langjie
Dec 29, 2008 (12:24 pm)
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Replying to: pf_flyer (Dec 28, 2008 5:26 am)

They only said that the Prius makes no money for Toyota. That's not bad for Toyota. They still make money on all the parts and they get great marketing. Then they also can develop their technology. Since the industry is trending more and more to electric vehicles, this is good research. I don't think hybrids is the key to the turnaround to the auto industry, electric vehicles will be.

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