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Do You Favor A Government Loan To The Detroit 3?

3958 messages,  Last post on Oct 02, 2009 at 4:52 PM

You are in the Automotive News & Views Forum. Your Hosts are steve_ & claires

What is this discussion about? Legislation


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#867 of 3958
Re: a lot of hard feelings [steve_] by grbeck
Nov 26, 2008 (9:05 am)
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Replying to: steve_ (Nov 26, 2008 8:37 am)

steve: Of course there will be guys like me who go in to look at a MKZ and decide that the Focus is pretty darn nice for half the price.
 
At this point, for Ford, a sale is a sale...
 
As for the article on GM and Ford eliminating brands - I would disagree with some points.
 
At Ford, the Mercury unit has been a black hole for decades and simply must go by any rational assessment.
 
Mercury doesn't bring anything new to the customer, but the vehicles are basically Fords with different grilles, headlights and taillights. The investment to create a Mercury from a Ford is next-to-nothing, and the vehicles receive virtually no national advertising support anymore, so the division isn't really costing Ford much money. From a financial standpoint, it's not a black hole.
 
The company has stressed it has faith in the Lincoln luxury division - and it would be hard to suggest Ford forge ahead with no premium-market presence - but in coldly clinical terms (the kind that might be necessary to mollify a Congress running on high-horsepower skepticism of Big Three management acumen), Lincoln doesn't work and hasn't since the 1960s.
 
Lincoln was quite successful during the 1970s, when it set sales records with the "standard" Continentals and Marks, and again during the mid-1980s and early 1990s, when the Town Car was selling very well.
 
I'd ditch the MKZ, develop the MKS and upcoming MKT, keep the Navigator and figure out how to build a rear-wheel-drive Lincoln off of the next Mustang platform. And either kill the Town Car or update it with new styling, a better chassis and a MUCH more luxurious interior.
 
#868 of 3958
Re: Bail out, maybe... [driver100] by tlong
Nov 26, 2008 (9:20 am)
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Replying to: driver100 (Nov 26, 2008 7:21 am)

I think you got it! I think the Big 3 would love to get out of their commitments in the U.S.A. They could make money if they were only producing and selling overseas.
 
Could they shut down in the US, continue operating overseas, and then a few years later return to the US? I wonder if they could start fresh without UAW contracts if they "cleaned up" in this way, or if they would still have contractual obligations?
 
Of course none of this matters if they go BK anyway.
#869 of 3958
Re: Bail out, maybe... [gagrice] by kdhspyder
Nov 26, 2008 (9:25 am)
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Replying to: gagrice (Nov 26, 2008 5:31 am)

I think that parts of Chrysler can be sold off for some minimal values. The Jeep name alone along with the Wrangler would fit somewhere inside Ford for example. Or maybe it would just be a division of Mahindra Motors from India.
 
The minivan business might fit into Ford or it might just as well disappear.
#870 of 3958
Re: a lot of hard feelings [steve_] by lmacmil
Nov 26, 2008 (9:32 am)
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Replying to: steve_ (Nov 26, 2008 8:37 am)

That makes a lot of sense to me. I was at the Honda dealer this week and the Acura dealer is across the street. I would have liked to have peeked into an Acura, but I wasn't going to walk over there.
 
Honda, Toyota and Nissan made a conscious decision to keep their luxury brands separate from their mainstream brands so as not to dilute the luxury image. How many ES owners would have paid the extra dollars if they thought they were getting a gussied up Camry?
#871 of 3958
Re: a lot of hard feelings [lmacmil] by steve_ HOST
Nov 26, 2008 (9:51 am)
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Replying to: lmacmil (Nov 26, 2008 9:32 am)

I'm getting a bit sidetracked on the luxury issue because the Is There Room in the Luxury Market for Hyundai? discussion is active this morning.
 
How closely do you want the loan stings to tie Ford or GM to consolidating their luxury brands with the rest of their offerings?
#872 of 3958
Reduced compensation as condition of bailout by xrunner2
Nov 26, 2008 (9:53 am)
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Replying to: nippononly (Nov 25, 2008 3:25 pm)

If all the people involved would just see sense, accept reality, and reduce their compensations and benefits to industry norms (including executives), 2 of the domestics would probably be OK without either a bankruptcy OR a bailout.
 
It would be interesting to see the hourly rate of all the different types of employee positions at GM, Ford, Chyrsler - high, middle, low level management, engineers, accountants, assembly line, etc. On a spreadsheet. Beside the flat hourly rate, (all salaried gets converted to hourly), also see the total rate with all benefits.
 
Congress should have access to all of these details before a bailout/loan. Every single employee should "first" be willing to adjust their compensation to lower than Honda/Toyota as part of their commitment to help their company before Congress gives any loan. When/if these companies start to be profitable, then compensation can be adusted upward accordingly.
#873 of 3958
Re: a lot of hard feelings [grbeck] by driver100
Nov 26, 2008 (9:58 am)
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Replying to: grbeck (Nov 26, 2008 9:05 am)

As for the article on GM and Ford eliminating brands - I would disagree with some points
 
This was a clever marketing tool when first invented. Chevy owners would move up to an Olds, Pontiac owners could move up to Buick, Ford owners going upscale could get a Mercury and eventually a Lincoln. Today the idea is dead for the Big 3, but there are dealers that have contracts, and you just can't decide to drop a line of cars, without compensating the dealers selling that line. Cost GM a lot to get rid of Oldsmobile. So, we can say the Big 3 should have fewer nameplates, but it is easier said than done. They could also close down 2/3rds of their dealers, but can't for the same reason.....Chapter 11 is looking better all the time!
#874 of 3958
Re: a lot of hard feelings [grbeck] by xrunner2
Nov 26, 2008 (10:11 am)
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Replying to: grbeck (Nov 26, 2008 7:57 am)

If Ford and Lincoln are combined at the dealer level (as they were, ironically, prior to World War II), then dealers will have Fords to appeal to the mass market, and Lincolns to appeal to more traditional, upscale buyers.
 
Problem is that upscale buyers will expect more attention than an ordinary Ford dealer might provide. Could a Ford dealer compete in customer satisfaction with a Lexus, Infiniti, Acura, BMW, etc dealer? Would a present owner of a Lexus ES350 consider a Lincoln brand if he/she had to go to a Ford dealer for service?
#875 of 3958
Re: big 3 reputation [kernick] by nvbanker
Nov 26, 2008 (10:18 am)
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Replying to: kernick (Nov 26, 2008 7:21 am)

Ford, GM, and Chrysler need to sit down with the unions, suppliers and banks, and need to say "This is how much is coming in, and that's how much can go out; we need to adjust our budget to make that work."
 
You're the optimist if you think that approach would work. The Unions don't care, their mission is to bring management to their knees, always. Suppliers are already on the skids and can't reduce prices any more. Banks, contrary to what Congress will tell you (like they actually understand anything) are under pressure from both the Government and their stockholders to "resolve" their bad loans, which usually does not mean working with anybody, it means foreclose.
 
The only solution is Bankruptcy and reorganization in a painful way - they cannot go on like they are and succeed. The situation is grave indeed.
#876 of 3958
universal health care and Detroit by steve_ HOST
Nov 26, 2008 (10:45 am)
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"GM spends an average $72 an hour on labor, including wages, health benefits and pensions. Non-union Toyota plants spend $42 an hour. Toyota hasn't been building cars here long enough to be stuck with the hospital bills of nonagenarian retirees. The company has plenty of elderly veterans back home -- the Japanese are the longest-lived people in the world -- but guess who pays for healthcare in Japan? The Japanese government. As a result of providing its workers with health benefits that everyone in this country should be getting, American automakers pay over $2,000 more in labor costs on every car they make. The best way to overcome a nut like that is to build big vehicles that you can sell for a big profit.
 
Were Detroit automakers shortsighted? Absolutely. As shortsighted as a 21-year-old who drops out of engineering school and takes a job in a warehouse to support his ailing parents. American automakers sacrificed innovation to keep building SUVs and trucks that would pay their legacy costs right away."
 
Detroit isn't dead yet (Slate - sometimes the link flakes out to the premium version)

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