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Do You Favor A Government Loan To The Detroit 3?

3958 messages,  Last post on Oct 02, 2009 at 4:52 PM

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What is this discussion about? Legislation


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#658 of 3958
Re: The B word [mikefm58] by dave8697
Nov 20, 2008 (2:20 pm)
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Replying to: mikefm58 (Nov 20, 2008 8:16 am)

Image is shallow.
 
The silver lining in a 11 year low in the S&P is a little less depreciation comes with the colonization?
#659 of 3958
Re: A previous poster is quoted below. [kernick] by berri
Nov 20, 2008 (3:00 pm)
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Replying to: kernick (Nov 20, 2008 2:08 pm)

I certainly understand and respect your opinion. This is a very complicated issue and there are arguments and counter-arguments to both sides. The experts are just as divided as we bloggers are and you can easily find professional sources and quotes to both sides. If bankruptcy was an easy solution, then Delphi would have been an easy pre-packaged resolution. Instead it drags on, only existing because GM has propped it up. Bankruptcies almost always have unexpected problems and consequences. I think it boils down to whether you think GM is a lost cause. If you think it is over, they shouldn't get any money and the US should pay any short term economic consequences because it will be better off in the long run. If you think they can survive, then a loan that will make the taxpayers a profit down the road makes long term sense. Incidently, I don't currently own a Detroit vehicle and am not a union member. I just think GM can make it, so we should ride with it a bit, avoid any short term hits, and make a few taxpayer bucks out of it when it is resolved. If I were to throw a company out it would probably be Chrysler because I just don't see the product and quality down the road, even though Nardelli may be a better executive than Wagoner (GE people will probably say that, Home Depot will probably not!).. Of course, Congress is its usual cowardly self injecting politics and avoiding decisons (whichever side they may favor).
#660 of 3958
Re: A previous poster is quoted below. [berri] by nippononly
Nov 20, 2008 (3:29 pm)
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Replying to: berri (Nov 20, 2008 1:35 pm)

Please explain to me why Wall Street's AIG is more important than GM to the economy?
 
Because when large companies get themselves in hot water, they need to borrow money to get themselves out. AIG if it failed had the ability to bring down the entire banking system (because of its unique positioning with regard to the "toxic" mortgages), which would then mean that companies across the whole spectrum of industries would be unable to borrow to get out of hot water, causing a cascading effect into deep recession. AIG was essentially attached to the banks at the hip, and the banking industry (being the industry everyone depends on when things go wrong in the economy) couldn't be allowed to collapse.
 
GM if it fails does NOT have the ability to bring down the banking system, just as no manufacturing concern does.
 
NPR is announcing that the Congress has told the automakers "no for now", and asked them to return in December with a detailed turnaround plan. I wonder if Ford will be at that second meeting?
#661 of 3958
Re: A previous poster is quoted below. [nippononly] by berri
Nov 20, 2008 (4:29 pm)
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Replying to: nippononly (Nov 20, 2008 3:29 pm)

Short term I hear what you are saying about AIG, but longer term I'm not so sure. There isn't going to be much for banks and insurance companies to support if we keep losing manufacturing. If China and India can make stuff, they soon will be able to engineer and finance all that stuff as well. Dubai is already starting to become a world financier. We've lost steel, electronics, textiles and Boeing is working toward us losing aircraft as they transplant more and more of it. I don't believe this argument that we can be strong as simply an intellectual and service economy, and I don't think stock investors are buying it right now either. Computers are going overseas, SAP has made strides into software and Linux is in effect international in basis, more and more software development and programming goes to India. As our standard of living goes down, foreigners will invest less and less here and buy more and more elsewhere. I'm afraid automotive is one our last industrial capabilities and if it dies I think our future just looks dimmer. Imports may fill the product bill over time, but they won't generate as many jobs as American manufacturing. Yes, China needs us today, but maybe not so much in 10 or 20 years. They will have learned American style management and will increasingly have other alternatives for finance and technology. These are big decisions and our kids futures rest in them. We'd better be right however we decide.
 
Ford will have to be at those hearings because it can't let the others get a financial advantage over them. I think Mullaley is doing a decent job, but he had to make some big bets on products and consumers are fickle. Ford still has plenty of risk.
#662 of 3958
Re: A previous poster is quoted below. [nippononly] by rangerover2
Nov 20, 2008 (5:03 pm)
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Replying to: nippononly (Nov 20, 2008 3:29 pm)

I wonder if Ford will participate in the second round as well. I have read some of your posts that GM is in the best shape of the Big 3. I think Ford is more interested in these loans to keep GM from going under. If GM or Chrysler go under there is noone to pick up the excess capacity. Unlike what naive posters say. This capacity cannot be replaced overnite. A shock like this will cost the industry dearly. Noone can afford to prop up bankrupt suppliers and this could bring many automakers that operate in the U.S. to their knees. I think many underestimate the long lead times when it comes to automobile manufacturing. Yes, eventually the markets will right themselves but at what cost? It definately will be more than $50 billion. The last laugh wil be on the U.S. Taxpayer as usual.
 
By not giving this bridge loan we as a country are playing with fire. These are not normal times and we need to take drastic measures as a country to sure up our industries or else we may look back on how we used to be a superpower. We have been losing the economic war for decades to countries that do not respect our free trade principals and have been using them to bring our country to it's knees. As a people we need to wake up and start leveling the playing field before it is too late. We also need to stop chasing the lowest price. American business cannot compete with Korean, Chinese, Indian labor rates nor do we want to.
 
We need to stop being cheap and suport our own. If the playing field were level these countries would not be able to dump on our markets with their child labor and inhuman working conditions and their manipulated currencies to keep their prices low. This survival of the fittest crap is pie in the sky idealism. Toyota is the fittest because they have been the beneficiary of corporate welfare by their govervenment and have a home market that is protected from imports. Toyota is an awesome company but Ford kicks their arse in most countries where they compete on a level playing field like Europe.
 
Ford is in the best shape. There quality is improving and they are launching a lot of cars over the next 2 years. There spending on cars is going to be up to 2/3 of there product spending come 2010. They have also spent the last several years making difficult operational adjustments that have been costly but necessary. GM has not done this to the same extent as Ford. Let's not forget that Ford was gaining moment with a Q1 profit for 2008 that was derailed by gas prices and now the credit crisis.
 
It blows my mind that anyone would expect the big 3 to present a business plan. They are constantly facing off the wall conditions that noone can anticipate and then critics drag them through the mud. Did anyone see $140 gas? Did anyone see a credit crisis? How can anyone make a viable business plan with external conditions like this.
 
The Big 3 have problems but they did not get into this state by themselves. The U.S. government with their Free Trade policies and inept healthcare policies does not help. Anyone can setup shop with no import penalities, no legacy costs and Government sponsorship (Japanes & U.S. State governments looking for an import plant).
 
The American people also need to accept some blame. We are very fickle and we talk out of both sides of our mouth depending on what is most beneficial to us right now. We have short term memories and goals with no patience or appreciate for long term goals.
 
I do believe in captialism and basic market principals. That it is why I cannot understand why Americans act like SUV/Trucks and large cars were forced on us. They chose these vehicles and voted with there dollars. If they did not value them the Big 3 would not have made them in such volumes if wedid not demand them.
Now that the American people have changed there interests as easily as the wind blows they expect the Big 3 to just up and start making small cars.
 
The only reason Europe and Japan have an advantage in average fuel economy is because that is what there governments and people demanded. Americans were drunk on cheap gas and the need to keep up with the joneses while the U.S. gov't was protecting big oil.
 
We must support our own if we are to survive and allow our future generations to iive the American Dream. This is a great country with unbelievable talent and capabilites. There is no way the Big 3 cannot compete in the U.S. when they are successful in every other market around the world that is not protectionist like Japan and Korea. We owe it to the Big 3 and ourselves to stop the madness of destroying our industries because of unfairn policies that handicap U.S. manufacturing. We are putting our fellow Americans out of work. Soon it will be each one of us out on the street. Then who do we blame and ridicule? At least we can say we sure taught the Big 3 a lesson?
#663 of 3958
To all Big 3 Employees/Retirees/Dealers by dodgen
Nov 20, 2008 (5:26 pm)
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Let's show the U.S. how much the real economy does depend on the Big 3. On all of your paper money write these words: "This $ made by the Big 3"
 
As it circulates around the nation, every person who touches it will have proof in their hands how they are personally impacted by the US auto industry.
 
Copy this message, and paste it into every forum and comment area of every auto discussion you can find.
 
Canada, Germany and even Romania has said they are willing to help the US automakers. Where is OUR government????
#664 of 3958
Re: A previous poster is quoted below. [berri] by tlong
Nov 20, 2008 (6:41 pm)
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Replying to: berri (Nov 20, 2008 3:00 pm)

I think it boils down to whether you think GM is a lost cause.
 
GM is a lost cause in its present form. Half or third-sized, with new executive management -- that's a different story. The sooner we can get them to that point the better. Which is why there should be no bailout until Wagoner and his first line goes, and there is a plan to radically downsize, including eliminating all but 2 divisions. That may take BK.
#665 of 3958
Re: To all Big 3 Employees/Retirees/Dealers [dodgen] by berri
Nov 20, 2008 (6:49 pm)
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Replying to: dodgen (Nov 20, 2008 5:26 pm)

Canada, Germany and even Romania has said they are willing to help the US automakers. Where is OUR government????
 
Locked up in politics as usual. Bush, like him or not, seemed to offer a reasonable compromise in letting the Detroit 3 tap their currrent $25B in environmental and fuel efficiency subsidy to cover their current liquidity problems. Some in both parties agreed, but then the political machines got into gear. The Dems didn't want to go for it because they need to feed their left and it's push for environment, as well as their loathing of Bush. The Republicans didn't buy in because of their far right beliefs that Adam Smith still defines Capitalism. Each side wants to one up the other. Obama may truly be a centrist hoping to unite government, but he faces a steep uphill battle. Each party seems aligned with their political interests and special interest lobby money. The middle class only counts at election time, otherwise they don't provide the big cash payouts that lobbyists can. We need more politcal parties and some competition in politics. I'm not sure that either party stands for middle class America and its desires any more. Unfortunately, Washington may be more broken than Detroit!
#666 of 3958
Re: To all Big 3 Employees/Retirees/Dealers [berri] by steve_ HOST
Nov 20, 2008 (7:18 pm)
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Replying to: berri (Nov 20, 2008 6:49 pm)

The first $25B was to be devoted to R&D, especially fuel efficient things that would appeal to the greens. Bush is just trying to stick it to the environmentalists, just like he'll try to stick it to them in the next two months when he'll start signing all his lame duck executive orders. I don't reasonable compromise entered his mind.
#667 of 3958
Re: The B word [pf_flyer] by kdhspyder
Nov 20, 2008 (8:00 pm)
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Replying to: pf_flyer (Nov 20, 2008 5:52 am)

Just a gut guess, but I'm thinking that any "bailout" package is going to void UAW contracts and force labor costs back into line. And if there's resistance to that, then the other option is a REAL bankruptcy filing which will get the automaker out from under those contracts.
 
That was the point of a prior post I made. If the bailout does occur it cannot just void the three legal contract that the UAW has in place. Unless the UAW agrees to reopen the negotiations the D3 are stuck with those contracts....unless they go BK.
 
If I was Gettlefinger I wouldn't budge. I'd want part of that $25 Billion for myself and my members. Otherwise nyet.

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