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Do You Favor A Government Loan To The Detroit 3?

3958 messages,  Last post on Oct 02, 2009 at 4:52 PM

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What is this discussion about? Legislation


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#2714 of 3958
Re: Here's the quandry for GM ... [circlew] by gagrice
Mar 05, 2009 (5:09 pm)
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Replying to: circlew (Mar 05, 2009 4:58 pm)

That will bring the legacy costs up to $5000 per car. I suppose they could add that to a Cadillac and the buyer would not notice. On an Aveo it might be a deal breaker.
#2715 of 3958
Re: Maybe [pf_flyer] by ronvpr
Mar 05, 2009 (11:45 pm)
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Replying to: pf_flyer (Mar 05, 2009 1:23 pm)

Yeah, maybe if the Korean government were as generous as ours by letting our cars compete in Korea without all of the extra tarrifs and trade restrictions, GM could export its way out of trouble and send the profits back over here. I mean that what the Japanese and Koreans do anyways. Why shouldn't we do it to them? Oh Wait, They have senetors Shelby, Corker and McConnel on their payroll. American companies should just cahnge their names to Japanese ones and they could get all of the money they need.
#2716 of 3958
Re: Maybe [ronvpr] by bpizzuti
Mar 06, 2009 (3:17 am)
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Replying to: ronvpr (Mar 05, 2009 11:45 pm)

Yeah, maybe if the Korean government were as generous as ours by letting our cars compete in Korea without all of the extra tarrifs and trade restrictions, GM could export its way out of trouble and send the profits back over here.
 
GM can't even compete with Hyundai HERE, and you figure the solution is to go compete with them on their home turf?
#2717 of 3958
Re: New Loans WILL be a WASTE [cooterbfd] by kernick
Mar 06, 2009 (5:06 am)
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Replying to: cooterbfd (Mar 05, 2009 3:18 pm)

This would allow the D3 to prove their worthiness by building better products like the Fusion, Lacrosse, and whatever Chrysler could come up with.
 
It's not about products anymore. That needed to happen years ago. I agree with kdh and gagrice. To state what they said in a different way, GM and Chrysler (and every other auto maker) are simply too big for the market now. And car companies with unions can not adjust size quickly. And GM and Chrysler have 2 large problems that others don't 1) they have a huge number of pensioners getting very good benefits. The other manufacturers don't only having gotten large recently. With GM and Chrysler losing market share they have a much higher number of pensioners to support per car sold then the others. 2) GM and Chrysler went into this financial crisis very weak - not having much reserves. This might be analogous to the person getting laid off who has $1,000 in the bank, when experts tell you have 3-6 months of cash available.
 
SO GM and Chrysler are paying the price for the years of losses they've had.
#2718 of 3958
Re: Maybe [ronvpr] by kernick
Mar 06, 2009 (5:08 am)
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Replying to: ronvpr (Mar 05, 2009 11:45 pm)

Ron - go do some research on what Korean auto makers get paid, what sort of lifestyle that buys them (house, 2 cars, boat?), and what sort of money they get in pension.
#2719 of 3958
Re: New Loans WILL be a WASTE [kernick] by cooterbfd
Mar 06, 2009 (2:24 pm)
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Replying to: kernick (Mar 06, 2009 5:06 am)

".....1) they have a huge number of pensioners getting very good benefits. The other manufacturers don't only having gotten large recently. With GM and Chrysler losing market share they have a much higher number of pensioners to support per car sold then the others. 2) GM and Chrysler went into this financial crisis very weak - not having much reserves."
 
I agree with the problem of the pensioneers. But to rid themselves of that problem, we talk C11. Problem w/ C11 is, the presumption that car sales tank relative to the rest of the industry. I think that the govenment has, in essence, "put" GM in C11 by giving them the bailout money, only we're not calling it C11, we're calling it a bailout.
 
My scenario would have cost the government little to no money short term, and afforded the automakers time (24-36 months) to restructure to the market that is available to them, w/o having to make debt payments during that time frame.
#2720 of 3958
Market Share means nothing... by circlew
Mar 07, 2009 (6:05 am)
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without value and profitability. All of you on this forum know there is none of either left in the D3. Ford is on borrowed time but at least they are fighting a loosing cause which is a lot better than begging for bailouts that will inevitably NOT get paid back.
 
Why keep pumping money into them.?
 
Auction them off in C11, pay the unemployment benefits and retraining programs and right-size the industry. That is the fast way to successfully restructuring the industry. Blow it up and rebuild from scratch. There is far too much excess baggage to evolve into profitability and real corporate value-building in the current company structure.
 
The current corpserations are starting to smell even before they are cremated!
 
Regards,
OW
#2721 of 3958
Re: Market Share means nothing... [circlew] by bpizzuti
Mar 07, 2009 (7:16 am)
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Replying to: circlew (Mar 07, 2009 6:05 am)

Ford is on borrowed time but at least they are fighting a loosing cause
 
Hardly, they've got a real shot. They've got new models that HAVEN'T been delayed (Fiesta, Fusion), they've already shrunk themselves down to the essentials, and they are fixing it so they're NOT dependent on a large market share to be profitable.
 
GM has always worshiped market share to the point where profit became a secondary objective. The Cruze is now delayed, who knows about the Volt, , they talk about paring down brands but so far it's all talk: they're still sitting on 8 brands, and MIGHT reduce that to 6 in the near future (Saab is already in bankruptcy and might be gone, but that was forced on GM rather than GM deciding to do it).
 
And wonder of wonders, GM is still preaching market share, instead of trying to find a way to be profitable regardless of market share.
 
There's a reason why GM's stock has taken a beating and Fords...well, not as much of a beating. Ford is trading at $1.75, while GM is trading at $1.56. Theoretically GM is a larger company with more assets and a higher market cap.
#2722 of 3958
Re: Market Share means nothing... [bpizzuti] by circlew
Mar 07, 2009 (5:43 pm)
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Replying to: bpizzuti (Mar 07, 2009 7:16 am)

Ford is woth $4.5B while GM is worth $885,000, so a huge difference. Remember, however, Ford was at $16/share in 2004. I beleive Ford will not survive this market in it's present structure. IT might be the best of the failed industry in the US but it is hardly a springboard for a strong industry leader to reinvent the industry, IMHO.
 
A new entity must be formed to reinvent the future of our auto manufacturing. No current company is poised to lead that mission.
 
Regards,
OW
#2723 of 3958
Re: Market Share means nothing... [circlew] by bpizzuti
Mar 07, 2009 (6:42 pm)
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Replying to: circlew (Mar 07, 2009 5:43 pm)

I beleive Ford will not survive this market in it's present structure.
 
That's the point...its present structure is in flux, and has been even before the recession. It doesn't HAVE a present state because it's been reinventing itself since Mually came on board. Given that, I think they've got a good chance of surviving: they've shown themselves to be a much more flexible, nimble, and adaptable company, and they ARE a leader in some ways. They're leading the way in hybrid technology now, with Fusion spanking Toyota's technology. Their standard ICE engines are looking to leapfrog the competition...the Fiesta looks like it'll get 40 MPG highway, something no one else can match with a pure ICE solution (toyota's little 1.5l doesn't even manage that, I think). Ford's got a lot of success to fall back on, and the public is loving them compared to the Bailout Boys (which sounds like it may soon include Toyota...imagine how a good PR campaign can take advantage of THAT).
 
GM, on the other hand, has spent its entire existence trying to avoid change.

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