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Car Stock Exchange To "grocer" "neurotic" and other leaders
8 messages, Last post on Aug 08, 2008 at 7:01 AM
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Replying to: mtrullinger (Aug 06, 2008 1:11 pm) "I guess you might make the 6 month period consist of the first full 6 months of sales so you wouldn't need to worry about those weeks right at launch where both the new and old cars are on the lots at the same time." But there is room for fluctuations, as you say, because we don't necessarily include all sales of each vehicle. We are approximating unit sales based on a date by which the vehicles are in wide release across the U.S. This does add some complexity to the estimations. Even internally, we had some challenges making our estimations, but our guys are good at that (they weigh a lot of disparate data points, because they have to do this kind of estimating for Edmunds in general). Part of the interest here is that people might think our estimations are a little off, and if that's true, the final sales (based on game dates) figures will reset the values of each stock above or below our estimates. The estimates should be close, though, to be honest. Although, with the overall constriction of the market, some players might bet that sales are down overall, so we might have been overly optimistic in some of our predictions too. Does any of this mess make sense? |
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| Perfect sense. Thanks for clearing that up. | |
It should be a very very interesting month.
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Replying to: stig1 (Aug 07, 2008 1:15 pm) 
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Car Stock Exchange To "grocer" "neurotic" and other leaders
