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Automotive News & Views How does gas at $4 and higher impact you?
2175 messages, Last post on Nov 05, 2009 at 3:05 PM
You are in the Automotive News & Views Forum. Your Hosts are steve_ & claires
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Replying to: jipster (Nov 03, 2008 1:12 pm) And it could go up 60% too. Why? Because of people like you or I. If gas is $2.50/gal or $4.25/gal, as long as we're willing to pay the asking price and not backoff on our consumption then that's what happens. For instance I heat my house with oil, and I drive 5 miles to work each day. Until I decide to turn the thermostat down or bike, the price can go up, but I have not changed usage. If enough people have spare money then this means you can have large price changes when there isn't enough supply. The price may go up 30% just to get people to cut back 1-2%, to make supply = demand. It's not until the price goes up enough that people "blink", and cut demand, then you can have 60% price-swings on relatively little change in use. |
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Oil down $4 today. I like it.
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Replying to: oldfarmer50 (Nov 03, 2008 4:45 pm) a family member even drove their nissan armada over to visit for a while over the weekend. 
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Replying to: kernick (Nov 03, 2008 1:43 pm) No commodities traders get involved, everyone isn't paying $1 per board-foot today and $10 tomorrow, it just works like the sale of anything else.
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Replying to: nippononly (Nov 03, 2008 8:10 am) " So maybe they should stick to pork bellies. Nobody starves to death when the speculators go on a bidding war for pork bellies. They just switch to chicken (speaking figuratively here). Oil is a unique case, one in which there should be no commodities trading, no bidding for contracts. In fact, most energy trading should be the same way. Energy may seem like a market commodity, but in its many forms it is more a necessity of the American lifestyle than it is an option. Imagine the uproar there would be if there was commodity trading and speculation for water. " I knew we could agree! Thanks's for approaching debate honestly and not sticking your head in the sand or sadly refusing to acknowledge. Well right on! Oil was considered intrinsic enough to US national security that we established a strategic petroleum reserve after the '70's so that we could not be held hostage. If you'll check my older posts you'll see I've been consistent. Yet somehow gaming of oil based on a Goldman/Morgan proscribed paradigm was deemed acceptible. Of the nine oil speculation bills put before congress only one had teeth. Rep. John Larson (d) connecticut managed to get someone really in the know to advise him and proposed not increased regulation or a separate comittee with oversight or any of the other destined to fail while absorbing taxpayer dollars solutions but a brilliant concept that would cut to the core. Before anyone would be allowed to buy a futures contract on oil or gas, they must show the ability to accept physical delivery. No taxpayers dollars spent. Goodbye paper traders and hedge funds. At one time speculators made up only 5% of trading and were mostly individuals . Today's hedge funds account for huge multiples of that and have far deeper pockets . Avast! To the soybean pits with you.
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Replying to: duke23 (Nov 03, 2008 7:35 pm)
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Replying to: nippononly (Nov 03, 2008 7:14 pm) And if there's a shortage of timber or a suspected shortage of timber, then Home Depot pays more and raises their prices 50%. On the other hand lobster has dropped to $4.99/Lb due to a recent glut of it. But in a few months it could be $11.99/Lb. With something like oil there is going to be a lot of spikes and drops. I just look at it long-term. and figure sometimes things are good and sometimes things are bad. Figure on an average cost, but leave enough room in your budget for the bad times. |
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Replying to: gagrice (Nov 03, 2008 8:04 pm) Looks like today he's back in it. Oil is up over $7. Now that he's got Obama elected he has time to play with oil again. 
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Replying to: oldfarmer50 (Nov 04, 2008 9:24 am) I'm afraid you are right. I think his big thing is currency manipulation. Keep the market volatile and he makes money. Stability is a curse word to guys like Soros.
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Replying to: gagrice (Nov 04, 2008 9:28 am) "I'm afraid you are right. I think his big thing is currency manipulation. Keep the market volatile and he makes money. Stability is a curse word to guys like Soros. " Also ditto to OF50's comment re: Obama. Yah GS has been ticked at GWB for a long time. Short term oil may rise as the drop from$147 to $60~ ish has resembled an elevator with no brakes. Signs still point to a cold winter and now that anxiety has eased a bit we can pay some attention to opec's possible second output cut. For a while. Long term trend still down. Something to ponder in the coming months. WWGSD ? Soros do. Short the world currencies in favor of the dollar since we are a refuge in troubled times? Buy properties from ECB's and the US Govt for a song? My guess, slowly accumulate hard assets since the recession will be shorter than generally predicted, to be in place when inflation rears it's ugly head once more. Given the printing press speed in DC as BTO said, " You ain't seen nothing yet". |
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