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How does gas at $4 and higher impact you?

2183 messages,  Last post on Nov 21, 2009 at 5:13 PM

You are in the Automotive News & Views Forum. Your Hosts are steve_ & claires

What is this discussion about? Gasoline, Fuel Efficiency (MPG)


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#1130 of 2183
Re: Chrysler (Cerberus) in talks to be bought by GM [andre1969] by kdhspyder
Oct 20, 2008 (6:55 am)
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Replying to: andre1969 (Oct 20, 2008 6:10 am)

Yes I think that 10 yrs is a good estimate, depending on fuel prices of course, for the current new vehicles to work their way through the used car market. $6 or $8 fuel might speed this up though.
 
With GM killing off the TrailBlazer/Envoy, Toyota the FJ, Ford the Explorer/Mountaineer and Nissan prolly the Pathfinder in the midsized segment there will likely be only the 4Runner, XTerra and Durango left on the market ( and the Durango may have a very very short life ) .
 
Big SUVs will still be around but there will be only 2 or 3 IMO, the Sequoia, the Tahoe and maybe the Expedition. None of these will be big sellers.
#1131 of 2183
Re: Chrysler (Cerberus) in talks to be bought by GM [kdhspyder] by dieselone
Oct 20, 2008 (7:22 am)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Oct 20, 2008 6:55 am)

Big SUVs will still be around but there will be only 2 or 3 IMO, the Sequoia, the Tahoe and maybe the Expedition. None of these will be big sellers.
 
I agree, but I see the Suburban, Expedition, and Sequoia sticking around. I know it probably doesn't cost much to keep a Tahoe around, but it isn't really needed with Lambda based SUVs. There will always be a few around like me that have a family to haul and a boat/camper to tow that want these vehicles. No doubt the sales numbers will never reach what they once were.
#1132 of 2183
Re: Chrysler (Cerberus) in talks to be bought by GM [gagrice] by larsb
Oct 20, 2008 (7:27 am)
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Replying to: gagrice (Oct 19, 2008 2:36 pm)

Gary says, "I would add that the high $4+ gas was a part of the collapse of the housing market."
 
That's complete poppycock. No relationship. People spending $400 on gas a month instead of $250 did not cause them to default on their mortgage.
#1133 of 2183
Re: Chrysler (Cerberus) in talks to be bought by GM [kdhspyder] by kernick
Oct 20, 2008 (7:29 am)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Oct 20, 2008 6:55 am)

midsized segment there will likely be only the 4Runner, XTerra and Durango left on the market ( and the Durango may have a very very short life ) .
 
The bigger '09 Honda pilot is also there. Kia has a new 7-pasenger SUV. BMW, Suzuki and Hyundai also sell mid-sized. And these new crossovers that replace the Ford and GM mid-sized SUV's are marginally more efficient than the truck -based. Most cross-overs are luckly to get 25 mpg on the highway, so the combined-mpg is not that great.
 
BMW is actually bringing an X1 to the market, which purportedly will approach 40 mpg with a diesel option.
#1134 of 2183
Re: Chrysler (Cerberus) in talks to be bought by GM [larsb] by steve_ HOST
Oct 20, 2008 (7:35 am)
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Replying to: larsb (Oct 20, 2008 7:27 am)

I think there's a relationship between $4 gas and mortgage defaults. Excessive lending may have been the trigger, but it's not just needing gas for the commute. Those high energy prices affected shipping costs, your light bill, and $100 a bbl oil prices resulted in lay-offs when people cut back on discretionary spending to pay their heating or AC bill. Some of those people walked away from mortgages or couldn't qualify to buy a house, depressing home prices.
 
I think high energy prices are a big factor in the housing market collapse.
#1135 of 2183
Re: Chrysler (Cerberus) in talks to be bought by GM [steve_] by larsb
Oct 20, 2008 (7:48 am)
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Replying to: steve_ (Oct 20, 2008 7:35 am)

You can think that, but so far there are no economists (who do that sort of thing for a living) who are saying that there was a direct connection between those two factors. At least no stories I have read or heard.
 
Higher gas prices did not kill anyone with a correctly written mortgage. People who GOT INTO MORE THAN THEY COULD AFFORD might have had an issue.
 
But I can promise you that very few people came down to the choice, "buy gas or pay the mortgage?" If they did, then they were just idiots who made bad financial choices. Not enough people were in that circumstance to contribute to the issue
 
If you took a poll of people who have been foreclosed on and asked them, "Did you ever have to decide on either buying gas or paying the mortgage?" I would bet my last dollar that the number would be 5% of them or less.
 
When I refinanced my house in 2006, they offered me $25,000 more than I thought the home was worth. I could have been one of the stupid ones and taken the extra money - it was there for the taking. But I did not give in to the temptation and drive my mortgage payment through the roof and grab the cash.
 
High gas prices affected the economy IN GENERAL in the ways that you mentioned - but there is no DIRECT CONNECTION between people having to pay higher gas prices and that money going for gas instead of a paying their mortgage contributing to the mortgage meltdown.
#1136 of 2183
This is the kind of sad story we will see more often by larsb
Oct 20, 2008 (8:36 am)
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Here is a good example of why the lowering gas prices is a bad thing:
 
PLS Keep Gas Prices High
 
So while they remain worried about their savings and their jobs, some motorists are no longer facing the kind of gas prices that had forced them to eat out less, avoid travel and bike to work.
 
So in essence, they are saying what I have argued all along. Now that prices are lower, people are AGAIN going to resort to their "wasteful ways" and start eating our MORE, traveling more, and ceasing the riding of a bike to work.
 
Sad. Just Sad.
#1137 of 2183
Re: Chrysler (Cerberus) in talks to be bought by GM [larsb] by steve_ HOST
Oct 20, 2008 (8:52 am)
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Replying to: larsb (Oct 20, 2008 7:48 am)

I thought I'd see more hits in a quickie search, but here's one for you:
 
Gas prices fuel home defaults: Monroe foreclosures head for new record (Pocono Record)
#1138 of 2183
Re: This is the kind of sad story we will see more often [larsb] by tankbeans
Oct 20, 2008 (9:01 am)
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Replying to: larsb (Oct 20, 2008 8:36 am)

While I agree that riding a bike is far better for your health, and that those who have been able to start should continue, lower gas prices is not necessarily a bad thing. People eating out more means that they are helping the economy and paying more tax on the food that they eat. Traveling, same thing, they are pushing some money into the local economy, provided they travel inside the country. Not having to pay for gas is allowing people to buy more food, a nicer television, you name it and they are putting money back into the economy and not some rich oil executives pocket.
 
I wouldn't care if gas prices were $3.50 if the oil companies were actually having to spend that much more to produce the product.
#1139 of 2183
Re: Chrysler (Cerberus) in talks to be bought by GM [steve_] by larsb
Oct 20, 2008 (9:07 am)
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Replying to: steve_ (Oct 20, 2008 8:52 am)

Nice. That's one realtor in one county stating his opinion. He gave no facts.
 
Don't get me wrong. Higher Gas Prices were (as was many other items) a small contributor to the current recession.
 
But a DIRECT contributor to the mortgage meltdown?
 
No.

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