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How The 35 mpg Law By 2020 Will Affect The Cars We Will Drive

538 messages,  Last post on Jul 31, 2008 at 6:28 AM

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#105 of 538
Re: My Choice [kdhspyder] by gagrice
Dec 25, 2007 (8:23 am)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Dec 25, 2007 7:28 am)

Why is it that it's the White House that was driving this legislation forward?
 
Could it be that Bush is one of the few in DC that actually practice conservation in their lifestyle outside the Beltway?
 
I agree with Sylvester on keeping your big vehicles. I do not plan to drive on the highways in a over priced econobox like the Civic or Prius. They are just not as safe as a big PU or SUV when driven as designed. I would buy a small car for all the trips to the grocery store etc. An EV with a top speed of 45 MPH would do just fine for those ventures away from home. My Sequoia with a V6 Diesel would be ideal. Unfortunately the government does not consider fuel economy in larger vehicles of any importance.
#106 of 538
Re: King Harald at Hastings (dtownfb) [dtownfb] by texases
Dec 25, 2007 (7:12 pm)
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Replying to: dtownfb (Dec 23, 2007 5:42 pm)

There is fuel technology available today that would increase the fuel efficiency by 40%. It would require oil companies to change their refineries, i.e. invest money that they currently don't have to now.
 
Pray tell! These claims are made all the time, please provide some evidence.
#107 of 538
This will never happen by smithed
Dec 26, 2007 (7:05 am)
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They can mandate all they want, but the laws of physics veto those of Congress. If you think that we are going to drive around in golf carts (which is what it will take to meet these restrictions), you know little about Americans. We'll be like the Cubans: driving 30 to 40 year old cars and fixing them rather than going for this new technology. The engine rebuilders and transmission shops will be doing booming business for the next 50 years because of this.
#108 of 538
Re: This will never happen [smithed] by nippononly
Dec 26, 2007 (7:10 am)
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Replying to: smithed (Dec 26, 2007 7:05 am)

Nah, even if you have a fear of new technology or the cost of it, this law shouldn't worry you. Most of the big automakers are not far off meeting this goal now, and CERTAINLY people will not be forced to drive golf carts.
#109 of 538
Re: This will never happen [nippononly] by smithed
Dec 26, 2007 (7:24 am)
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Replying to: nippononly (Dec 26, 2007 7:10 am)

Yeah, this is not just cars, but SUVs and pickups, too. Businesses that need trucks are not going to like this.
#110 of 538
Re: This will never happen [smithed] by nippononly
Dec 26, 2007 (9:17 am)
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Replying to: smithed (Dec 26, 2007 7:24 am)

But businesses may actually benefit from this, financially. Don't they get to write off the expense associated with buying a truck, and the subsequent depreciation? So if they have to pay a bit more to buy their trucks, they will get their money back, won't they?
 
Plus, as I understand it, the bigger they make the truck, the less fuel economy it has to have. So just like they did before to get around CAFE in the 90s (trucks over 8500 pounds GVWR were exempt from regulations), I assume they will just giant-size the new trucks after 2010.
#111 of 538
Re: King Harald at Hastings (dtownfb) [dtownfb] by tpe
Dec 26, 2007 (9:27 am)
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Replying to: dtownfb (Dec 23, 2007 5:42 pm)

There is fuel technology available today that would increase the fuel efficiency by 40%. It would require oil companies to change their refineries, i.e. invest money that they currently don't have to now.
 
That's a totally false statement. There is a fixed amount of energy (hydrocarbon molecules) in a barrel of oil. Nothing is going to change that. The refineries have become extremely efficient at extracting the maximum amount possible for useable/saleable products. In fact out of a 42 gallon barrel of oil the result is around 46 gallons of different hydrocarbon products, eg butane, propane, petrochemicals, gasoline, distillates. lubricants, asphalt, etc.. Not sure how that works but it's true. It is not in the refineries best financial interest to waste any portion of a barrel of oil. Certainly not 40%.
#112 of 538
Re: This will never happen [nippononly] by gagrice
Dec 26, 2007 (9:28 am)
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Replying to: nippononly (Dec 26, 2007 9:17 am)

So if they have to pay a bit more to buy their trucks, they will get their money back, won't they?
 
Not really. It means you pay less taxes on that money. It still behooves a business to get the best deal possible on vehicles.
#113 of 538
Re: This will never happen [smithed] by kdhspyder
Dec 26, 2007 (9:29 am)
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Replying to: smithed (Dec 26, 2007 7:05 am)

This is always your choice if in 2020 you wish to drive around in a 90s vintage vehicle then go for it. But...
 
The problem with this is if you do keep your 80s or 90s vintage large vehicles which presumably will be getting 16-20 mpg and fuel costs $7-$10 per gallon how satisfied will you paying $150 - $200 on each fill up when others are paying half that amount, driving further with the same power that you have.
#114 of 538
Re: This will never happen [nippononly] by tpe
Dec 26, 2007 (9:39 am)
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Replying to: nippononly (Dec 26, 2007 9:17 am)

My personal opinion is that this 35 mpg mandate will be totally irrelevant long before 2020. Afterall, you can't consume more than the supply and we are getting very close, on a global level, to the demand matching the production capacity. At that point it becomes a bidding war between the consuming nations but there is still only so much to go around. By 2020 this 35 mpg CAFE will be the equivalent of a law being passed in Ethiopia that limits average food consumption to no more that 2,000 calories per day. It's meaningless. People will be driving 35+ mpg vehicles by this time not because they were forced to by these CAFE standards but because they were forced to by financial constraints and limited supplies. Of course the CAFE proponents will see how the fleet efficiency has improved and will congratulate themselves on this effective legislation.

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