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#2422 of 8495
Re: Real Hearings. [imidazol97] by circlew
Dec 02, 2008 (11:23 am)
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Replying to: imidazol97 (Dec 02, 2008 4:23 am)

Oh yes, the C.E.O.s are brilliant with their lack of a plan the last begging session.
 
Congress did the right thing last time, like it or not.
 
Regards,
OW
#2423 of 8495
Re: Real Hearings. [circlew] by imidazol97
Dec 02, 2008 (12:12 pm)
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Replying to: circlew (Dec 02, 2008 11:23 am)

I can't figure out how your post is in response to my point. There's a disconnect.
 
">Most of those Congress who made comments are idiots on what is going on and grandstanding and have no idea what they are talking about.
  
"That's the truth. The "hearings" (political speeches) should have been led by facilitators such as the fellow discussed in the few previous posts with knowledge of the auto industry instead of politicians. I said that in previous posts. We'd be a lot further along in re what we could do and should do to save our auto industry from further damage from the imports"
#2424 of 8495
Re: Real Hearings. [circlew] by kernick
Dec 02, 2008 (12:24 pm)
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Replying to: circlew (Dec 02, 2008 11:23 am)

Oh yes, the C.E.O.s are brilliant with their lack of a plan the last begging session.
 
What's that TV show - Are You as Smart as a 3rd Grader?" ? Well the CEO's weren't even smart enough to say "the dog ate it!" Maybe they should have sent car-show babes in their slinky dresses, if all they were going to do was beg? I know a few Congressmen who would have given them the $.
 
Anyway I guess they learned to showup with a plan. But a plan in itself is no major accomplishment, as we could write a plan if we put together some of the last few hundred posts.
I myself don't see how GM can make money unless you assume sales are going back to 16M units anytime soon. The $25B will not last even a year; Ford wants $9B, leaving $16B for GM and Chrysler. What's GM losing per month $2B? $2.5B maybe in Nov. with a 41% drop in sales?
So given that the clock is ticking, who thinks GM can make all the changes necessary in 6-8 months, to make a profit before using all the money they're asking for?
 
My opinion from my math calculations, is that $25B would be needed every 6 months, at least for 2 years, even if GM presents a good plan, and the economy improves to 2007 levels by 2010.
 
But then again why does Chrysler need money when their "parents" Cerberus has money, or could sell them to someone who has money? BTW how many of you have seen that Chrysler is suing Mercedes over the sale. Apparently Cerberus didn't do their homework back when considering to buy Chrysler, and now they want the courts to bail them out of their bad decision.
#2425 of 8495
Re: Real Hearings. [imidazol97] by circlew
Dec 02, 2008 (12:31 pm)
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Replying to: imidazol97 (Dec 02, 2008 12:12 pm)

The disconnect seems to center on "LACK OF A PLAN" for 3 companies that claim they need help. That's why they were rejected not because the wrong facilitators led the hearings!
 
Save our auto industry??
 
The damage is self-inflicted. Do you really believe people have shunned the Detroit 3 because they are unpatriotic or immoral??
 
Bad Business Model...bad decisions...greed and high costs.
 
Regards,
OW
#2426 of 8495
Re: Real Hearings. [kernick] by circlew
Dec 02, 2008 (12:35 pm)
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Replying to: kernick (Dec 02, 2008 12:24 pm)

Your calculations are good. $25B is chump change and will only last until the spring...unless they close 40% of the operations and reduce staff further than planned...
 
Hopefully, the government can set up a new Board of Directors to oversee the spend.
 
Regards,
OW
#2427 of 8495
Re: Real Hearings. [imidazol97] by kernick
Dec 02, 2008 (12:42 pm)
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Replying to: imidazol97 (Dec 02, 2008 12:12 pm)

The "hearings" (political speeches) should have been led by facilitators such as the fellow discussed in the few previous posts with knowledge of the auto industry instead of politicians.
 
No! The Big3 went to Congress to beg for $. Congress is politicians. If the Big3 CEO's wanted to discuss business-strategy with auto-industry consultants, then they could have done that in Detroit amongst themselves!
 
Congress's job is not to figure out how to save various companies from failure. It is reluctantly doing that with banks and brokerages, as the repercusions could be extreme. Congress is not here to figure out how GE, IBM, McDonald's, or GM can make $. There are banks, and stock brokerages to fund and loan to decent companies; the federal government should definitely not be involved!
 
Whether it is corporate or family the lesson needs to be that if you screwup continually, you fail! This is not a case of unfair foreign competition. The Big3 made these decisions with the unions on wages and retirement benefits, all on their own. They setup their dealer networks. They designed and built some lousy vehicles OVER DECADES. They are the ones who are still collecting millions in pay and flying corporate jets (they still would be if it wasn't pointed out to them!!) while begging for $.
 
On a bailout or loan or whatever you call it, what you're doing is asking taxpayers - the majority who don't make what a UAW member makes, nor has his pension and retirement benefits, and the millions of Americans who don't have health insurance, to put THEIR money to supporting someone else's BETTER lifestyle. You want the government to take taxes from everyone to support a FAILED system of better-paid people!
 
This is totally unfair to many people who struggle to make $20/hr, maybe have no vacation and health insurance, and no pension besides a small 401K or Roth that has been decimated; and they are supposed to provide for UAW workers making $70/hr total, or workers who retire at 55 with good $ and health benefits!
 
I'm going to write my Congressmen and tell them to stop wasting their time with these auto bums, and let them go back to Detroit and figure out with their consultants what they're going to do to solve their finances, or sell off the business.
#2428 of 8495
Re: Real Hearings. [circlew] by kernick
Dec 02, 2008 (12:46 pm)
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Replying to: circlew (Dec 02, 2008 12:35 pm)

Your calculations are good. $25B is chump change and will only last until the spring...unless they close 40% of the operations and reduce staff further than planned...
 
Yes, and you know it'll take a few weeks to get the list together and then the notices out, and then they'll pay each worker a lump sum (and is this built into UAW contracts)? Menawhile with closing plants and divisions, sales will be down but the pensioners will still need to be paid THE SAME OR MORE - so this adds cost per car produced.
 
So downsizing actually makes the likelihood of any of the Big3 ever earning a profit WORSE. I don't see how they make a profit, as long as they have all these contracts and commitments.
 
All I can see GM doing with this money is: the current people taking 1 last gulp at the trough. They'll use it to pay off everyone in their organization, while preparing themselves personally to bail.
#2429 of 8495
Re: Real Hearings. [kernick] by imidazol97
Dec 02, 2008 (12:51 pm)
Reply

Replying to: kernick (Dec 02, 2008 12:42 pm)

>I'm going to write my Congressmen and tell them to stop wasting their time with these auto bums
 
While you're writing them about their job description, suggest they stop setting up failures in the financial system by mandating loans to failure like Dodd, Frank, Waters, et al did with Fannie and Freddie in the 199Xs and then pitching a fit when warnings surfaced and changed were attempted in 2005 and 2006. That's the cause of the current low sales for auto makers. And I don't recall any real plan needed for granting money to AIG--or did that plan include using the bailout money to go on retreats et cetera? I don't think so. And the current monies being given to banks to use for loans is being loaned back to the Fed for treasury notes and bills instead of lending. Lack of a plan there. Remind your congress people what they should be doing _consistently_ instead of trying to grandstand with the US brand automakers.
 
We have to agree on th need for a plan.
#2430 of 8495
Re: Real Hearings. [imidazol97] by kernick
Dec 02, 2008 (1:00 pm)
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Replying to: imidazol97 (Dec 02, 2008 12:51 pm)

While you're writing them about their job description, suggest they stop setting up failures in the financial system by mandating loans to failure like Dodd, Frank, Waters, et al did with Fannie and Freddie in the 199Xs and then pitching a fit when warnings surfaced and changed were attempted in 2005 and 2006
 
I agree, I'm not picking favorites. It's a bad idea when government gets involved in business, or who banks have to loan to.
 
That's the cause of the current low sales for auto makers.
 
Yes it's a main (but not sole) cause for many businesses hurting. The other main cause is that people around the country spent themselves into more and more debt year after year, which is unsustainable. People are so far in debt, that they can't see a good reason to go spend $25K on a new car that's worth (trade-in) about 50% in 2-3 years. Also contributing to the auto-sales-slowdown is that for a number of years, auto sales were very high, and maybe 16M-17M isn't sustainable given that vehicles tend to last longer.
#2431 of 8495
Re: Real Hearings. [kernick] by imidazol97
Dec 02, 2008 (1:46 pm)
Reply

Replying to: kernick (Dec 02, 2008 1:00 pm)

I see slow auto sales until after tax time next year. I think many will start loosening up then.
 
House sales will be a mess thanks to the politicians (without party-bipartisan blame) who played with the reality market of who can afford a house. If it weren't for the weekly sheriff's listings section the local rag would probably have folded last year. The listing of foreclosures is larger than the whole paper is some days of the week.
 
That's going to take quite a while to work through especially with the economy in Ohio and Michigan which some hope to make worse, if possible.

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