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Article Comments - 2007 Hybrid Sedan Comparison Test - READ ONLY

44 messages,  Last post on Mar 18, 2008 at 2:34 PM

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What is this discussion about? Toyota Camry Hybrid, Nissan Altima Hybrid, Saturn Aura, Hybrid Cars, Sedan

Article comments for 2007 Hybrid Sedan Comparison Test - Comparing hybrid sedans is a little like pitting Rush Limbaugh against Al Gore in a Thunderdome-style death match. The fight itself might put you to sleep, but the results, which speak volumes about the commitment of the combatants, will have everyone taking notice. (more)


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#41 of 44
Re: Economics of a hybrid [engnrng] by langjie
Feb 04, 2008 (10:48 am)

Replying to: engnrng (Feb 01, 2008 8:31 pm)

yes, i'm not sure where you're going with this. are you saying that it costs more or less to own a hybrid?
#42 of 44
Re: Economics of a hybrid [langjie] by talmy1
Feb 04, 2008 (11:41 am)

Replying to: langjie (Feb 04, 2008 10:48 am)

I'm saying it could be too close to call. There are many factors involved which cannot be accurately predicted or accounted for in the Edmunds TCO calculations. My own personal estimations showed it to be a wash. However we went with the TCH because of its quiet, smooth ride. If it ends up saving money, that will be a bonus. If it costs more money, well we had a nicer car.
#43 of 44
Re: Economics of a hybrid [talmy1] by langjie
Feb 07, 2008 (12:50 pm)

Replying to: talmy1 (Feb 04, 2008 11:41 am)

ok, gotcha....
 
well with the altima there are pro's and con's.
 
smaller trunk is a con for the hybrid
but getting TCS and VDC is a major PRO (you can't get it with the 2.5 models)
#44 of 44
Re: Economics of a hybrid [gagrice] by kdhspyder
Mar 18, 2008 (2:34 pm)

Replying to: gagrice (Feb 02, 2008 1:51 pm)

The problem with Edmund's analysis ( all their analyses of this sort ) is that they don't factor in any amount for future fuel price increases. At most they figure that gas will be $2.85 forever..
 
I've called them out on this subject before but it's built into their system based on 1990's experience. Well they're just wrong as we can see today. Fuel is not $2.85 forever. A more realistic way to calculate it is to plan on a 'fuel inflation factor'. This is what a small business would do if it was planning on buying an asset.
 
Length of ownership: Months or Years
Distance driven: per Month or Year
Cost of Fuel: $/Gal, factored for inflation
Fuel economy: # Gal / 1000 mi driven
 
Purchase price:
Less: Resale Value
Less: Tax Credits, if any
 
Cost of Fuel:
Avg $/Gal over lifespan x Total distance driven
 
Then do the math.....it's a snap on a spreadsheet. In every case from 2 yrs to 5 yrs to 7 yrs to 10+ yrs the hybrid Camry comes out ahead of the non-hybrid version. In the shorter term the higher residual value on resale makes the TCH cost less overall. In the longer term both vehicles are worth little to nothing but the cost of the escalting fuel year after year makes the TCH cost less to own.
 
2007 4c XLE vs 2007 TCH level 2 ( w / SR ), both vehicles driven 30000 mi since new
 
Purchase Prices
XLE 4c ..$25400
TCH #2 ..$27900
 
Resale value ( 3/18/08 Black Book )
XLE 4c .. $18100
TCH #2 .. $21900
 
Tax Credits:
XLE 4c .. $0
TCH #2 .. $2200 ( now $0 )
 
Avg Cost of fuel / Gal..Actual ( Est )
2006 .. $2.50
2007 .. $2.85 = 2 yr Avg $2.68
2008 .. ( $3.30 ) = 3 yr Avg ( $2.90 )
2009 .. ( $3.80 )
2010 .. ( $4.30 ) = 5 yr Avg ( $3.35 )
2011 .. ( $4.80 )
2012 .. ( $5.30 ) = 7 yr Avg ( $3.80 )
2013
2014
2015 .. ( $6.80 ) = 10 yr Avg ( $4.55 )
2016
2017
 
After 2 yrs ( today ) and 30000 miles the cost equation is..
 
XLE 4c $25400 - $18100 = $7300 vehicle cost
TCH #2 $27900 - $21900 - $2200 = $3800 vehicle cost !!!
 
Fuel used ( 2008 EPA values )
XLE 4c .. 25 mpg Combined = 40.0 gal / 1000 mi driven = 1200 Gal x $2.68 = $3215
TCH ...... 34 mpg Combined = 29.4 gal / 1000 mi driven = ..882 Gal x $2.68 = $2365
 
Total costs thus far
XLE 4c .. $7300 + $3215 = $10515
TCH #2 .. $3800 + $2365 = $6165
 
That's a pretty huge difference in favor of the hybrid Camry after just two years!!
OK factor out the $2200 Tax credit. That's still a $2000+ advantage in favor of the TCH after only 2 yrs ( higher resale ).
 
Do all the same math but do it over 10 yrs 15000 mi/yr and estimate that the residual value of both vehicles with 150,000 miles is $1000....and there is no Tax Credit involved.
 
The net result is:
XLE 4c Total cost ( V + F ) = $24400 + $27300 = $51700
TCH #2 Total cost ( V + F ) = $26900 + $20065 = $46965
 
That's $4700 in favor of the TCH after 10 yrs of use and 150,000 miles ( CARB warranty )

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