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Are gas prices fueling your pain? - READ ONLY

10042 messages,  Last post on Jul 12, 2008 at 4:07 PM

You are in the Automotive News & Views Forum. Your Hosts are steve_ & claires

What is this discussion about? Fuel Efficiency (MPG)


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#8666 of 10042
Re: Gas, Gas, Gas! [gagrice] by british_rover
Jun 11, 2008 (7:33 pm)

Replying to: gagrice (Jun 11, 2008 6:03 am)

As snake said 14 mph is a moderate breeze according to the scale.
http://www.stormfax.com/beaufort.htm
 
Also AVAV has gotten the wind turbines to generate power down under 12 mph using newer designs.
 
Lastly think about what happens in urban settings where the wind builds up in tight spaces hits the side of a building and then roars up to the roof. I had this happen today walking through West Hartford. I turned a corner and all of a sudden there was a good 20 plus mph wind running down the side of the street that was probably accelerating to an even higher speed when it tried to climb the building at the end of the street.
 
Early adopters of architectural wind
 
As you can see they are using them all over the country and at least one place in the UK so they work in a variety of conditions.
 
Ha what are the odds another stock I own has a set of wind turbines on one of their US buildings.
 
Rio Tinto Minerals Borax Visitors Center Boron, CA
#8667 of 10042
Re: Gas, Gas, Gas! [british_rover] by steve_ HOST
Jun 11, 2008 (7:36 pm)

Replying to: british_rover (Jun 11, 2008 7:33 pm)

This power plant gallery site is pretty entertaining. It has pics of 272 wind energy installations around the world, geo-thermal plants as well as the usual dams and coal fired power plants.
 
Power Plants Around the World
#8668 of 10042
Oil Could Hit $400 a Barrel by 2018 by avalon02wh
Jun 11, 2008 (7:37 pm)
http://www.businessweek.com/globalbiz/content/jun2008/gb20080610_688373.htm
 
This is one of those headlines I read and just wonder. Are people that delusional.
 
I am going to go outside now and see if pigs can fly.
#8669 of 10042
Re: oh goody! [nippononly] by imidazol97
Jun 11, 2008 (7:42 pm)

Replying to: nippononly (Jun 11, 2008 7:28 pm)

I'm used to large moves. You must not be used to 25 cent jumps in your area. And the graph only shows the bumps in the average price for the area. The portion that routinely has lower prices has exaggerated jumps back to the typical area price when the companies bump things up.
 
Filled up both cars at $3.94 today minus 10 cent Kroger discount.
 
San Fran in red; Dayton in blue; crude, green.
 
full size
#8670 of 10042
Re: oh goody! [imidazol97] by nippononly
Jun 11, 2008 (8:44 pm)

Replying to: imidazol97 (Jun 11, 2008 7:42 pm)

Cool chart! It shows the $0.14 here in San Francisco since a week ago. I guess my local rise being $0.18 is within the norm of that chart.
 
It also shows that while we here in SF don't see jumps or spikes in our gas price, it is also true that our price slowly but surely rises all the time, without any of the jumps down that Dayton (and crude) experience.
 
I guess I should be glad (and I do remember taking note) that for a lot of May we weren't paying much above the national average. Now we are back to our norm of $0.50 above the national average. But I know the folks in Chicago and a few other big cities are feeling our pain too.
#8673 of 10042
Re: Oil Could Hit $400 a Barrel by 2018 [avalon02wh] by bpizzuti
Jun 12, 2008 (3:34 am)

Replying to: avalon02wh (Jun 11, 2008 7:37 pm)

Remember, most of those organizations who are predicting oil futures HOLD oil futures. That means they A: want it to go up, and B: have the capability of making it go up by using their own buys and sells to tweak the market.
 
So they're not delusional. Not only are they saying it will, but they're informing you where their next major value increase is going to come from: your wallet.
#8674 of 10042
Re: Based on today's info [larsb] by avalon02wh
Jun 12, 2008 (3:43 am)

Replying to: larsb (Jun 11, 2008 1:21 pm)

"No one can see into the future - but with the best info, it is possible to make an "educated guess" based on hundreds and maybe thousands of data points. "
 
The problem, as you mention, is getting the best data points. Predicting oil prices means predicting what people will do. That is still a very difficult proposition. You have scientists, economists and engineers trying to understand the oil market that is actually made up of a lot of irrational people.
 
How can you predict when OPEC will raise or lower production?
Can you predict when the CEO of an oil company will decide to drill in a certain area?
Does our thousands of data points help us decide when or if countries will drop a fuel subsidy?
Do we know what the breaking point is for the average American diver? $4 $5 $19.37?
How will the politicians react or what legislation will they pass?
 
Back in 04, 05 & 06 the EIA predicted that Mexican oil production would rise despite the fact that it had leveled off in 04 and 05. Mexican investment in exploration and production was inadequate. The EIA knew that yet they kept up with their rosy forecast.
 
The EIA and the IEA are worthless pieces of when it comes to predicting. Sure they collect millions of pieces of data, but they cannot see the forest for the trees.
#8675 of 10042
Re: Oil Could Hit $400 a Barrel by 2018 [bpizzuti] by avalon02wh
Jun 12, 2008 (4:08 am)

Replying to: bpizzuti (Jun 12, 2008 3:34 am)

"So they're not delusional."
 
I was actually referring to the retired Admiral, not every future trader.
 
" Not only are they saying it will, but they're informing you where their next major value increase is going to come from: your wallet"
 
No, they might be able to temporarily tweak the market, but as prices rise people stop buying. For example:
at $100 a barrel 10 % of the people world wide stop buying oil
at $200 a barrel 20 % of the people world wide stop buying oil
at $300 a barrel 30 % of the people world wide stop buying oil
at $400 a barrel 40 % of the people world wide stop buying oil
 
Demand would plummet as the price rises. People would find substitutes, drive less or whatever. You really should do some searching for energy/oil/gasoline/diesel news stories on Google news or theoildrum to see how people are already reacting to high energy prices. It is not going to take $400 a barrel or $10 a gallon for RUG to have the you-know-what hit the fan.
 
RUG is at $4.06, another record.
Diesel is at $4.79 also a record.
 
And how about Hawaii, their diesel has hit $5.18. Me thinks I need to search Google News later today to see how the Hawaiian folks are reacting to all this good news. Good thing they do not need heating oil to heat their homes. I predict they will be using Lava powered cars and trucks in the not to distant future.

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