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Will ethanol E85 catch on in the US? Will we Live Green and Go Yellow? - READ ONLY

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#683 of 2104
E85 in too much demand...NOW by seniorjose
Jun 09, 2006 (8:31 am)
Stations selling E85 below cost
By Dan McFeely
dan.mcfeelyindystar.com
It’s costing a little bit more for patriotic E85 drivers to stick it to foreign oil suppliers these days.
 
Ethanol-blended fuel - made from Midwestern corn and touted as one way to wean America off of foreign oil dependency - is selling almost 70 cents higher than it was just a few months ago.
A check this morning with a few of the 32 Indiana gas stations that sell E85 shows the price hovering between about $2.70 to $2.80 a gallon. At Joe’s Junction on Kentucky Avenue on the Southside, the price was $2.84, compared to $2.09 in February – and compared to $2.86, the average for regular unleaded fuel.
 
But even that higher price for ethanol is less than what station owners are paying, according to Kellie Walsh, executive director of the Central Indiana Clean Cities Alliance, which promotes alternative fuels. Rack prices – the industry term for the price a station pays to a fuel supplier – for ethanol are about $3.36 in central Indiana, which includes fuel, taxes and transportation costs.
 
“Some of these owners are really taking a hit in order to keep E85 on the market,” said Walsh. “They know that this time next year, production will be up and prices will come back down.”
 
Ethanol price increases are being blamed on high demand from states that have phased out MTBE as an octane booster (which helps prevent engine knocking). Ethanol is used (at 10 percent) to boost octane and does not have the environmental health risks that are present in MTBE.
 
Meanwhile, production and sale of E85 continues to climb.
 
Indiana has five new ethanol plants under construction with two scheduled to open by this fall. Plans have also been announced for future ethanol plants in Hoosier towns such as Rushville, Bluffton, Marion and Rensselaer. South Bend-based New Energy Corp. is the only active plant in Indiana, churning out 100 million gallons per year.
 
National retailers Wal Mart, Meijer and Kroger have each announced aggressive plans to add E85 pumps to their fueling stations in the Midwest and around the country. This week, the first E85 plant in oil boomtown Houston was opened at a Kroger store.Indiana has 32 E85 pumps, a number that is expected to climb this year. Meijer, for example, opened its first city pump in May and announced plans to have 20 pumps in operation by the end of the year.
#684 of 2104
E85 Power output and usage in Racing by seniorjose
Jun 09, 2006 (8:49 am)
E85 has been repeatedly shown to produce more power than a comparable gasoline fuel, especially in engines that need high octane fuels to avoid detonation.[9] Ford Motor Company found that power typically increased approximately 5% with the switch to E85 [10]. Researchers working on the equivalent of E85 fuel for general aviation aircraft AGE-85 have seen the same results with an aircraft engine jumping from 600 hp on conventional 100LL av gas to 650 hp on the AGE-85. Recorded power increases range from 5% - 9% depending on the engine. [11][12]
 
Due to pressure to remove leaded fuel even from racing environments, several racing organizations are looking at ethanol or E85 fuels as suitable alternative fuels for high performance race engines.
 
In 2006, the "National Street Car Association" is adopting E85 as an approved fuel for both their American Muscle Car and Street Machine eliminator racing classes.
 
The National Hot Rod Association (NHRA) currently allows ethanol as an approved fuel in several of its racing classes. NHRA approved ethanol is allowed in their bracket classes, Hotrod, Modified, ProFWD, and ProRWD classes to name some of the more popular. At this time NHRA has not announced any plans to include E85 as an approved fuel in the classes that are currently limited to "pump fuels".
 
The Indy Racing League is likewise moving to ethanol based fuels in 2006, with 10% ethanol 90% methanol fuel blend, and switching to a 100% ethanol fuel in the 2007 racing season.
 
There is much discussion of NASCAR also making the switch to an alcohol based fuel in the future.
 
Interest in E85 is high enough that there are now competitions for engine builders to develop winning combinations for both power and fuel economy on this fuel. One such competition is sponsored by the AERA Engine Builders Association. [13].
#685 of 2104
E85 - Lower Greenhouse Gas Emissions by seniorjose
Jun 09, 2006 (8:58 am)
Life cycle impact of E85 on greenhouse gas emissionsUse of E85 results in reductions of greenhouse gas emissions and energy use for each gallon burned, compared to the emissions and energy use for the gasoline it replaces.
 
Using corn based fuel ethanol production, E85 has a significant impact on total fossil fuel / energy usage and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. As process efficiency increases over the coming years, these benefits are expected to continue to improve.
 
Using dry milling process technology (circa 1999) each gallon of E85 burned reduced petroleum usage by an estimated 0.949 gallons. Reduced GHG emissions by 23.8%, compared to burning a gallon of gasoline, and reduced life cycle fossil energy consumption by 44.4% compared to gasoline.
 
On a per mile driven basis, using 1999 technology, dry milling process derived E85, reduced petroleum usage by 74.9%, GHG emissions by 18.8%, and total fossil energy consumed by 35%. Wet milling derived E85 with 1999 technology would net reductions of 72.5% in petroleum usage, 13.7% in GHG emissions, and 34.4% in fossil energy used.
 
Using current state of the art (circa 2005) these reductions in GHG and energy usage improve slightly. Dry mill current technology reducing petroleum usage by 75.6%, GHG emissions by 25.5% and fossil energy use by 40.7%. Wet mill current technology reducing petroleum usage by 73.7%, GHG by 23.8% and fossil energy by 42.5%.
 
Using cellulose based processes, the reductions in petroleum, GHG and fossil energy are expected to reach the following levels in a mature production environment. Cellulose based ethanol production is nearing commercial viability at this time (2006). Woody biomass process (near future technology) petroleum reduction 69.9%, GHG emissions 102.2% and fossil energy usaged 79%. Herbacious biomass process (near future technology) petroleum usage reduction of 71.4%, GHG emissions 67.6% and fossil energy 70.4%
 
Current values for the energy balance of production show that gasoline returns only 80% of the energy invested in its production and delivery to the consumer. It has a negative energy balance of -20%. Current technology fuel ethanol, returns 139% of the energy invested in its production and delivery for a net +39% energy return, due to the free solar energy captured by the plants used for its production. Near future cellulose based ethanol is expected to reach an energy return of 169% of the energy invested in its production and distribution.
#686 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [seniorjose] by fireball1
Jun 09, 2006 (9:55 am)

Replying to: seniorjose (Jun 09, 2006 8:19 am)

By the way, corn is not grown with any irrigation methods in the midwest...just another myth and falsehood.
 
?????????????????????????????
You (1) are living on another planet, or (2) have a strange definition of "Midwest."
 
I am guessing that 90 percent of corn farmers in Nebraska irrigate, either thru center pivot or canal. Irrigation is prominent in Nebraska, Minnesota, South Dakota, Missouri, Michigan and Kansas -- states located, by your definition, somewhere on the West Coast. Irrigation is less likely in Iowa, Illinois, Indiana and Ohio because they receive more rain in the average year. (U.S. Geological Survey facts) Naturally, irrigation is more predominant in California and other western states because those are semi-arid lands, if not flat-out deserts.
 
In the Great Plains area located over the Ogallala Aquifer -- much of Nebraska, Kansas and Oklahoma, part of South Dakota, the eastern third of Colorado, northeast New Mexico and the Texas panhandle -- irrigation consumes 95 percent of ALL GROUNDWATER USED! (U.S. Geological Survey again) That includes water used for domestic consumption, industry and other purposes.
 
And the No. 1 crop irrigated? By far, far and away, it's corn.
 
Farmers are increasingly drying up parts of the Great Plains to grow subsidized corn that is made into subsidized ethanol that is sold at gas pumps with yet a third subsidy.
 
I would more inclined to support corn ethanol if we grew our corn where it didn't require 50 percent or more of its water through irrigation.
#687 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [fireball1] by tpe
Jun 09, 2006 (10:37 am)

Replying to: fireball1 (Jun 09, 2006 9:55 am)

I would more inclined to support corn ethanol if we grew our corn where it didn't require 50 percent or more of its water through irrigation.
 
I'd be more inclined to support ethanol if I believed it had any chance of alleviating our dependence of foreign oil. Right now ethanol accounts for less than 4% of our fuel usage. In 10 years it will still provide less than 10% of the fuel we need and we will still be importing more oil than we are today. Even if you are an ethanol proponent there isn't much urgency in rushing out to buy a flex fuel vehicle because we will never be able to produce enough ethanol for more than a small percentage of drivers to burn E85.
 
In the next 10 years how much is the government going to spend on ethanol subsidies? I don't know the answer but I'm sure its considerable. I believe the government could spend a small percentage of this amount and develop better electric motors and batteries for an all electric vehicle that would be more than adequate for the vast majority of us. This would allow for an actual reduction in fuel consumption. In other words it would represent progress as opposed to an approach that, at best, slows the bleeding.
#688 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [seniorjose] by snakeweasel
Jun 09, 2006 (10:48 am)

Replying to: seniorjose (Jun 09, 2006 8:19 am)

I am a humored a bit by how many myths and falsehoods abound about Ethanol and its effects on this country.
 
So I can take it that you are humored by your own posts?
 
The myths and falsehoods about Ethanol, Biodiesal or other renewable energy sources are still being perpetuated.
 
OK lets look at a couple ok?
 
To me and most E10 users, mileage differences are either non-exstant or irrelevant as E10 is a cheaper fuel than straight gasoline.
 
I don't know about you but Me and others who have checked their mileage find a small but significant drop in mileage using E10. Most cars will see a 4-5% drop in mileage using E85. To me with gas near $3.00 that significant.
 
corn made ethanol has an octane rating of 100-110 and it is potable and drinkable...with no harm to the environment and generates less CO2 than straight gasoline.
 
While the burning of E85 generates less CO2 the processing of the corn to Ethanol adds it right back.
 
By the way, corn is not grown with any irrigation methods in the midwest...just another myth and falsehood.
 
It is obvious that you have never been to the Midwest. Come by some summer and I will drive you by farm field after farm field of corn with irrigation equipment on it. And it ain't there for looks. Corn is a very water intensive crop that in the western Midwest cannot be grown without irrigation.
 
I find it very interesting that you post that you find humor in the lies and myths of E85 in the very same post you post lies and myths about E85.
#689 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [fireball1] by snakeweasel
Jun 09, 2006 (10:54 am)

Replying to: fireball1 (Jun 09, 2006 9:55 am)

I would more inclined to support corn ethanol if we grew our corn where it didn't require 50 percent or more of its water through irrigation.
 
Not only that but that it would take 525% of the US corn production to supply us with all the ethanol we would need so that we could replace all our gas usage to E85.
#690 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [snakeweasel] by tpe
Jun 09, 2006 (11:27 am)

Replying to: snakeweasel (Jun 09, 2006 10:54 am)

I'm estimating that the average driver in this country would need about 500 gallons of ethanol per year. That would require an acre of land growing corn that then needs to be harvested and distilled for each driver. That seems like a lot to me. This same driver would use about 15 kWh per day in an electric vehicle. This could be provided by 15 square meters of photovoltaic cells. Not to mention that efficiency of PV cells and the manufacturing process will almost certainly improve over time resulting in lower energy costs. Will the cost of growing corn decrease over time? Plus it provides the potential of not only being independent from foreign sources for your fuel but being independent from domestic sources. Could it be done today? Probably not but definitely in less than 10 years, which is far sooner than ethanol will even make a dent in our oil dependence. I truly believe that the reason this solution isn't being more aggresively pursued is that it cuts too many special interests out of the loop.
#691 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [tpe] by snakeweasel
Jun 09, 2006 (12:18 pm)

Replying to: tpe (Jun 09, 2006 11:27 am)

I whole heatedly agree with you there. What would really be great is if someone can come up with a system that includes an electric car that can run 100 miles or so on a single charge and a photo voltaic cell system that charges a capacitor or battery in the persons garage that the car gets plugged into at night to recharge.
#692 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [snakeweasel] by tpe
Jun 09, 2006 (12:46 pm)

Replying to: snakeweasel (Jun 09, 2006 12:18 pm)

Its already been done. I recently read an article written by an owner of a Toyoto RAV4 EV, which can go over 100 miles per charge. He charges his vehicle from home grown PV electricity.
 
I realize that EVs currently have some shortcomings that won't make them suitable for everyone but for the vast majority of us they would be ideal. How expensive would they be? That depends a lot on how many are manufactured. At the present time they probably will be considerably more expensive than a comparable ICE vehicle. Even though I'm not a big fan of government subsidies the reality is that they exist. So the question becomes, how do we get the greatest return on the government's investment in terms of reduced oil consumption. For instance, how much would the government have to spend to get 1 million EVs on the road and how much oil would this save over the life of these vehicles? Now compare this with how much the government would spend to get an equivalent oil savings through ethanol. The other difference is that an EV subsidy could eventually be phased out as they become cost competitive in their own right. I seriously doubt an ethanol subsidy can go away without extremely high oil prices.

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