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Will ethanol E85 catch on in the US? Will we Live Green and Go Yellow? - READ ONLY

2104 messages,  Last post on Oct 27, 2006 at 5:34 AM

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#672 of 2104
Re: What I'd like to know.... [tpe] by rorr
Jun 08, 2006 (2:08 pm)

Replying to: tpe (Jun 08, 2006 1:59 pm)

"I don't have really strong feeling about ANWR but its hard to get too excited about a 20 year plan that will have that small of an impact."
 
Um, since we import roughly 10M bbl/day, production of 1M bbls/day would be somewhere around 10%, not 3%.
 
Besides, if 1 Million bbls/day of crude oil production doesn't help with making us more independant of foreign oil, I fail to see how producing the ethanol equivalent to a quarter of that helps.
#673 of 2104
Re: What I'd like to know.... [rorr] by tpe
Jun 08, 2006 (3:19 pm)

Replying to: rorr (Jun 08, 2006 2:08 pm)

Um, since we import roughly 10M bbl/day, production of 1M bbls/day would be somewhere around 10%, not 3%.
 
I'm just telling you what I've read. I agree that the numbers don't seem to make sense. I suspect that part of the discrepancy is due to a projection that in 20 years we will be consuming closer to 30 million barrels of oil a day as opposed to the 21 million barrels we are currently consuming. It might also have something to do with oil companies tapping those wells that are cheapest. So ANWR could potentially displace a small percentage of domestic producers. Like I said, I don't know. Regardless, we are in agreement when it comes to this ethanol boondoggle.
#674 of 2104
Re: What I'd like to know.... [tpe] by gagrice
Jun 08, 2006 (6:42 pm)

Replying to: tpe (Jun 08, 2006 3:19 pm)

Your 1 million figure is about correct on ANWR. Best guess estimates are 16 billion barrels. That may be conservative. When they let the leases for Prudhoe Bay in 1969 it was estimated at 9 Billion barrel reserve. They started producing in 1977 at a little over a million barrels per day. They peaked at 2.2 million per day and now the Prudhoe field is less than a half million per day. Last I read they had taken about 17 Billion barrels out of that field. Now they are producing fields as far west as 100 miles of the beginning of the pipeline out in what originally was the Navel Petroleum Reserve.
 
An interesting side note. Everyone has their shorts in a knot over that pipe splitting and dumping oil on the tundra. Don't they know that is how the Navy found that oil existed in the Arctic. It is laying in huge pools on the tundra. Course you can't sue God for leaving it there. So go after the oil company. A case of environmentalism going too far.
#675 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [tpe] by fireball1
Jun 08, 2006 (7:44 pm)

Replying to: tpe (Jun 08, 2006 12:47 pm)


I know that there are a lot of ethanol refineries currently being built and I've got to imagine a lot of farmers are expanding they're operation to produce more corn.

 
According to the USDA, corn plantings are down 5 percent this year because of the skyrocketing costs of natural gas, which is used to make nitrate fertilizer.
#676 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [seniorjose] by brett5
Jun 08, 2006 (8:09 pm)

Replying to: seniorjose (Jun 08, 2006 10:40 am)

cool
#677 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [fireball1] by gagrice
Jun 08, 2006 (8:22 pm)

Replying to: fireball1 (Jun 08, 2006 7:44 pm)

corn plantings are down 5 percent this year
 
I don't see how a farmer can make any money at $2 a bushel. We were getting close to $3 in 1977-79 and going broke at that. Of course Carter had interest up near 20%. You could not borrow any money to get your crop in. It was a horrible time for farmers. With irrigated land in the Midwest you are very lucky to get 225 bushels to the acre. That is a $450 per acre crop in a good year. Not enough for me to go back to my farm.
#678 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [fireball1] by tpe
Jun 09, 2006 (4:56 am)

Replying to: fireball1 (Jun 08, 2006 7:44 pm)

According to the USDA, corn plantings are down 5 percent this year because of the skyrocketing costs of natural gas, which is used to make nitrate fertilizer.
 
That may be the case right now because we still grow a huge surplus of corn that gets exported. If ethanol production triples by 2015, which is projected, there will no longer be a surplus without expanding corn production.
#679 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [gagrice] by snakeweasel
Jun 09, 2006 (5:07 am)

Replying to: gagrice (Jun 08, 2006 8:22 pm)

With irrigated land in the Midwest you are very lucky to get 225 bushels to the acre
 
According to the Corn Refiners Association (at www.corn.org) the average US yield is 160.4 bushels/acre with Washington state having the highest per acre yield at 200 bushels/acre.
#680 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [tpe] by gagrice
Jun 09, 2006 (5:18 am)

Replying to: tpe (Jun 09, 2006 4:56 am)

If there is a surplus that would explain the low corn price. I see July futures up $2.75. What will that do to the price of ethanol? If we use the corn here and don't export it, there goes our balance of trade higher. All subsidized by the US government. Beautiful the way their minds work.
#681 of 2104
Re: E85 mileage compared to just gasoline - NOW [gagrice] by seniorjose
Jun 09, 2006 (8:19 am)

Replying to: gagrice (Jun 09, 2006 5:18 am)

I am a humored a bit by how many myths and falsehoods abound about Ethanol and its effects on this country. The myths and falsehoods about Ethanol, Biodiesal or other renewable energy sources are still being perpetuated. It is especially humorous to hear all thr comments from people who have never driven one mile in ANY Ethanol using auto and can quote myths about gas/ethanol mileage -- as PT Barnum once said...! Renewable fuel is not some plot by unnamed sources to try to make the USA independent of the dictatorships of the oil cartel. We can't keep up the ostrich approach forever.
 
THE REAL WORLD TODAY...NOW! I traveled 300 miles yesterday on E10 (NOW) and my mileage was 33MPG on my Accord I4..."Its a fact jack!" If I wasn't traveling 65-75 MPH maybe my mileage would be better. I also traveled from Iowa to upstate New York last month. Initial Iowa fillup got me 35MPG...filling up in Indiana got me 36MPG. To me and most E10 users, mileage differences are either non-exstant or irrelevant as E10 is a cheaper fuel than straight gasoline.
 
The days of trying to kill all alternate fuels by demogogery are over. Implementation of E85 and E10 are here...not instantly as many people want but using a renewable source of energy is not rocket science or future-think but are practical solutions NOW. Gee, corn made ethanol has an octane rating of 100-110 and it is potable and drinkable...with no harm to the environment and generates less CO2 than straight gasoline. By the way, corn is not grown with any irrigation methods in the midwest...just another myth and falsehood.
 
Hydrogen would be the answer if the monumental infrastructure and safety problems could ever be solved for mass production, but not apparently anytime soon. Ethanol is usable (E10) in any auto right NOW and E85 capable autos will gain another million vehicles this year. All-in-all ethanol is safe, environmentally harmless and just fits our life styles. Use it or don't that is the choice of auto owners.
 
There are many on this forum who are thoughtful and ask meaningful insightful questions. I try to post articles that contain facts about Ethanol and the pros and cons of this fuel. Ethanol right now is a Midwest developed fuel (and a Southern drinkable corn squeezin I might add) and it is starting to be additionally developed by Eastern and Southern states, granted a totally different environment from our bleak and lifeless environments of the Far West mountains/deserts. As an example, CA is dead set against any type of ethanol according to her US senators...so be it, it is not and will not (probably should not) be available in all parts of the country. There will be other solutions for renewable energy sources in other parts of our country.
 
The priority is to get weaned from oil cartel dictators -- the days of $30-$60 a barrel oil are GONE FOREVER. China, India and other third world countries need the energy that oil provides more than we do.
 
Renewable energy is a national presidential priority and a personal priority. I fish at our local nuclear power plant reservoir...a beautiful park-like setting. I see wind farms generating electricity as I drive through Eastern Iowa -- hmm another power source for distilling ethanol. I see some local Buffalo grazing on prairie grass which is similar to switch-grass, I drive with E10 89 octane in my, gas tank...10 cents a gallon cheaper than straight 87 octane gasoline -- screw the oil cartel for 10% of my auto energy needs.
 
Using "Pinochio Logic" (myths and falsehoods) to try to bait those of us here in the United States and intentionally foster anti-american hatred, would be hilarious if we were not so serious. Hatred of the United States' institutions, companies, government and hatred of our ideals and democratic ways, to me, are the property of the Islamic terrorists in Guantanamo Bay, Canada, United Kingdom, Iraq, Iran and the oil cartel dictators -- but not exclusively. We must guard against them as we prepare a national goa; of enrgy independence.

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