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Has CAFE reached the end of its usefulness?

507 messages,  Last post on Oct 27, 2009 at 11:49 AM

You are in the Automotive News & Views Forum. Your Hosts are steve_ & claires

What is this discussion about? Fuel Efficiency (MPG)


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#384 of 507
Re: well, the lawsuit is official [steve_] by grbeck
Jan 04, 2008 (9:25 am)
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Replying to: steve_ (Jan 03, 2008 7:22 am)

steve: Actually, less crap forced onto the auto mfg. means a higher cost to the consumer.
 
And how much have medical costs declined since safety standards and emissions control standards were phased in during the late 1960s, even adjusted for inflation?
  
steve: We talking more tax funded hospital stays if air bags weren't common and seat belt laws weren't enforced.
 
Actually, no, because if people were killed, which is what happened quite often in the old days, they didn't go to the hospital, they went directly to the funeral home, and then to the cemetery, and didn't cost taxpayers much of anything, except possibly for death benefits related to Social Security for survivors.
  
steve: No emissions controls means more asthma attacks and sick people missing work.
 
Except that the incidence of asthma has been increasing even as levels of pollutants have been decreasing for decades...
#385 of 507
Re: well, the lawsuit is official [grbeck] by steve_ HOST
Jan 04, 2008 (9:53 am)
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Replying to: grbeck (Jan 04, 2008 9:25 am)

Since you cited as much backup as I did, I won't belabor the points ... but I will treat you to a cafe.
 
Cafe as in a latte - we're not talking the Morning Call or Cafe' du Monde. mmmm, a couple of beignets would sure taste good right about now ....
#386 of 507
Re: well, the lawsuit is official [steve_] by gagrice
Jan 04, 2008 (11:44 am)
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Replying to: steve_ (Jan 04, 2008 9:53 am)

No bribing the opposition, this is not a political campaign
 
I can foresee the car of the future. It kind of looks like a giant bumper car. One of these days the Insurance companies are going to say enough with the high cost of totaling these throwaway crumple cars.
#387 of 507
LOL! by nippononly
Jan 04, 2008 (7:34 pm)
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Out of the mouth of Edmunds itself!
 
"Proving once again that Corporate Average Fuel Economy rules are a failure in boosting fuel economy, the federal government Wednesday released the list of fines automakers will pay for not meeting fuel-efficiency standards in 2007. And new records were set."
 
http://www.autoobserver.com/2008/01/automakers-fine.html#more
#388 of 507
Re: LOL! [nippononly] by kdhspyder
Jan 04, 2008 (9:45 pm)
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Replying to: nippononly (Jan 04, 2008 7:34 pm)

An alternate view from another auto industry writer. DetNews\
 
2007 CAFE results show auto makers exceed the current standards
 
Estimated 2007 model year results are:
 
• General Motors Corp.: 29.9 mpg for domestic cars, 31.9 mpg for imported vehicles and 22.6 mpg for light trucks.
 
• Ford Motor Co.: 29 mpg for domestically produced cars, 29.9 mpg for imported cars and 22.2 mpg for light trucks.
 
• DaimlerChrysler: 28.6 mpg for domestic vehicles, 24.7 mpg for imported vehicles and 22.6 mpg for light trucks.
 
• Toyota Motor Corp.: 31.6 mpg for domestically produced cars, 38.5 mpg for imported cars -- largely based on Prius hybrids -- and 23.9 mpg for light trucks.
 
• Honda Motor Co.: 33.5 mpg for domestically produced cars, 39.6 mpg for imports, and 25 mpg for light trucks.
 
• Nissan Motor Co.: 25.6 for imported cars, 34 mpg for domestically produced cars and 22.9 mpg for light trucks.

 
I think that she's referring to the Mercedes part of the former DC that had to pay the fines. BMW is no surprise they always ignore the rules and just pay the fines ( well the buyers pay the fines ).
#389 of 507
annual fuel economy increases by steve_ HOST
Feb 23, 2008 (3:18 am)
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"NHTSA officials would not disclose any details, but the average for cars is 27.5 miles per gallon now, while trucks are at 22.7 mpg. That means the necessary hikes, spread over just four increases, are going to have to be pretty substantial -- averaging almost two miles per gallon each time for cars, and a little more than three mpg for trucks."
 
NHTSA Submits Plan For Meeting 2020 CAFE Standard (GreenCarAdvisor)
#390 of 507
Re: annual fuel economy increases [steve_] by kdhspyder
Feb 23, 2008 (8:36 am)
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Replying to: steve_ (Feb 23, 2008 3:18 am)

Again this is an industry average so Honda's good performance benefits GM for example. In addition I think that individual manufacturers only have to be within 92% of the industry average, meaning about 33 mpg.
 
But most importantly our entire buying pattern might be entirely different in 5 or 7 or 12 years. If a jump of $1.50 in fuel has caused 1 million buyers to get out of their BOF vehicles in favor of something more efficient what would a $3.00 jump in prices do? ( $4.50 / gallon ). How about a $5.00 jump in prices by 2015 up to $6 or $7 a gallon? What will the public be demanding at those price levels? Probably it won't be a 16 mpg SUV or CrewCab truck. My guess is that at those elevated fuel prices the mix of vehicles will be heavily weighted in favor of the ultra-efficient models making well over 40 mpg.
#391 of 507
Re: annual fuel economy increases [kdhspyder] by steve_ HOST
Feb 23, 2008 (8:45 am)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Feb 23, 2008 8:36 am)

I'm curious about the unintended consequences. Some people will still need a gas thirsty SUV or truck for hauling (unless diesel wins the day). But the majors may not sell them in 12 years.
 
Maybe we should buy and garage a few HUMMERS or F-250 V-10s on speculation?
 
The other consequence someone mentioned around the boards yesterday goes - gas gets to $6 or $7 quickly. People quit driving. The majors quit making SUVs. Oil demand crashes and there's a glut of cheap gas. And then there's nothing new to drive but smarts and Yarises.
#392 of 507
got passed yesterday by nippononly
Feb 23, 2008 (4:18 am)
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by a Smart doing at least 80. Wonder what fuel economy he was getting at that speed?!
 
I am all for ramping up gas taxes some to instill some more common sense out there among the buying public. I don't know about $5/gallon though. I was thinking that $1.50 would be OK, spread out over 7-10 years.
 
Forget CAFE, and start regulating emissions of CO2 instead. Let's get at the heart of the matter.
#393 of 507
Re: well [nippononly] by boaz47
Feb 23, 2008 (9:48 am)
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Replying to: nippononly (Jan 03, 2008 6:13 pm)

The kicker is how political these things are and how many way around them people find. I was filling up the Tahoe the other day, and yes it takes more fuel than the Pontiac, and parked next to me was a brand new Tahoe with the words Flexfuel on the back. I walked over to the owner and asked what flexfuels they could use and they didn't have a clue. But they get a exemption and some kind of tax break. And they take just as much gas as my Tahoe.

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