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Toyota in decline in 2009?

3618 messages,  Last post on Nov 28, 2009 at 7:57 PM

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What is this discussion about? Toyota, Automotive News


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#2437 of 3618
Re: this sounds like a dumb idea [210delray] by lemko
Jan 30, 2009 (8:21 am)
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Replying to: 210delray (Jan 30, 2009 7:59 am)

Truly frugal buyers won't bother with either one and buy a Fit or Yaris instead. You have to drive an awful lot to make up for the price difference between a hybrid and ICE car.
#2438 of 3618
Re: this sounds like a dumb idea [lemko] by nippononly
Jan 30, 2009 (9:03 am)
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Replying to: lemko (Jan 30, 2009 8:21 am)

As you know, this is the well-worn (here at Edmunds) "is the extra cost of the hybrid worth it?" discussion, and for some it WILL be worth it, for others it won't.
 
The Insight II will cost $1500 more than the same-size Fit Sport, and have more features. Even if you value the extra features at $0, someone driving the Insight 12-15K per year could make up the cost differential in 2-2.5 years with $4 gas, 4-5 years with $2 gas, and be consuming less oil all along the way.
 
The Toyota comparison is even more favorable to the hybrid, given the price jump of the new Matrix last year and using the current Prius (priced around $20K later this year) and the current Matrix (the closest model in size) as the basis for comparison.
 
People will make their choices.....
 
The question is, if the Prius II costs $20K and the Prius III costs $25K while making only 8% better gas mileage and being a half second quicker to 60 mph, which will people choose, ESPECIALLY in this down economy? I'm thinking most will choose the current/old Prius, not the new one.
#2439 of 3618
prius II cost cutting by nwng
Jan 30, 2009 (10:28 am)
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anyone here knows what equipment the japanese prius II is going to ditch in order to lower the price?
 
drop the touch screen and use a manual a/c control would save at least a couple grand? I mean yota could've sell it at cost and crush the insight. But price it too low would steal a lot of corolla's sales.
#2440 of 3618
Re: prius II cost cutting [nwng] by nippononly
Jan 30, 2009 (10:56 am)
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Replying to: nwng (Jan 30, 2009 10:28 am)

On the flip side of your question, what new technology will the Prius III make available to the customer? Will it be enough to make the extra $5 grand investment seem worth it?
#2441 of 3618
Re: prius II cost cutting [nippononly] by anythngbutgm
Jan 30, 2009 (11:25 am)
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Replying to: nippononly (Jan 30, 2009 10:56 am)

I don't know, but I expect Prius buyers aren't really looking to be "sold" on one. They're more or less looking for the image that the car provides. That being the environmentally conscious, frugal, extroverted type. To me a Prius owner reminds me of the same people with psychadelic painted VW Buses during the hippie years. I don't think they care that A prius has a low return on value more than they care about burning less fuel and emitting less polution.
#2442 of 3618
Re: prius II cost cutting [anythngbutgm] by larsb
Jan 30, 2009 (11:31 am)
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Replying to: anythngbutgm (Jan 30, 2009 11:25 am)

People have bought cars "for image" for many decades now.
 
Having people buy a Prius for what image they want to project is nothing different than a millionaire sports star buying a Ferrari for his image, or a family buying a blinged-out SUV for their image.
 
The difference in those scenarios is that the Prius buyer feels like they are doing something good for someone ELSE, whereas the other two examples are for personal vain or satisfaction, and not to help anyone else.
#2443 of 3618
Re: this sounds like a dumb idea [nippononly] by kdhspyder
Jan 30, 2009 (11:47 am)
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Replying to: nippononly (Jan 30, 2009 8:20 am)

This next year's economy is going to be the worst that nearly any working adult has ever experienced. Any and all efforts to gain one more sale are good ideas.
 
There is very little possible to 'cheapen' the interior in terms of materials and it wouldn't make sense to begin to use completely new materials. But as anythingbutgm noted this G2 Prius has already paid for itself. It's beyond breakeven so the only costs to build one now are marginal direct costs like steel, plastic, rubber, aluminum and labor...No more marketing and no fixed costs to recoup. This variable-cost-only vehicle might cost as little as $12000 to build and ship so it could be sold as low as $19,995 MSRP and still make money.
 
What they will likely do is sell the current package No 1, which is what is currentlly sold to the fleets. It has no SKS and no backup camera and currently lists for about $22,000 MSRP. But that includes all Fixed Costs and Marketing charges. The new Gen 2.8 wouldn't have to be priced to cover these expenses, variable cost only.
#2444 of 3618
Re: this sounds like a dumb idea [lemko] by kdhspyder
Jan 30, 2009 (11:54 am)
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Replying to: lemko (Jan 30, 2009 8:21 am)

Yes the truly frugal will do exactly that. But in the same way that you'd never be seen in an econobox there are a lot of buyers who will never drive or own a vehicle as small and basic as a Fit/Insight II or Yaris or Versa. I'm one as well. Forget 'payback' I won't drive one, period.
 
It doesn't matter how good the fuel economy is, for me it's too small and too basic.
 
Many say the same about the Prius too. But this is a huge market in normal times and there are many many strata of buyers looking for excellent fuel economy - but there are some sacrifices that they won't make.
 
Now if the $20000 buyer wants a little more than a strippie Fit/Yaris/Versa such as a Corolla, Mazda3, Insight II or maybe a larger more powerful Prius G2.8 then there are sales to be captured. Toyota is making sure that Honda doesn't hog all the under $20K buyers wanting excellent fuel economy.
#2445 of 3618
Re: prius II cost cutting [nippononly] by kdhspyder
Jan 30, 2009 (12:03 pm)
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Replying to: nippononly (Jan 30, 2009 10:56 am)

The new Prius G3 packages have been already announced at the NAIAS. There are 3 initially.
 
Silver which is roughly similar to this year's Package #4 and which will prolly sell for about $26000.
Gold which is similar to this year's Package #6, plus Heated Seats, XM, Tilt/Tele SW, Adjustable Dr Seat, EV/Eco/Pwr Modes, Sunroof with Solar Panels to power a heat evac unit in summer. Price is likely to be in the $30K-ish range at least
Platinum.. all of the above, except the Sunroof/Solar Panels, plus 17 AW's, LED headlights, Intelligent Parking assist, Lane Keep Assist and Dynamic Laser Cruise Ctrl w/ Pre-collision System. My guess is $33000.
 
Those are the packages being offered to the initial buyers for pre-orders. When the vehicles begin to hit in large volumes I'm sure that there will be 6-8 packages in total for the wider population.
 
I've been invited to go to DC on Monday to get a preview of the G3 Prius from the Prius Marketing Team and the Chief Engineer. Updates to follow.
#2446 of 3618
Re: prius II cost cutting [anythngbutgm] by kdhspyder
Jan 30, 2009 (12:05 pm)
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Replying to: anythngbutgm (Jan 30, 2009 11:25 am)

JD Power has determined that the Prius has the highest 'I will definitely buy another ......' at 94% of current owners. The Corvette is second at 92% and the Mini Cooper is third.
 
You're right current owners don't need to be sold again. 'Just sign me up.'

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