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#6911 of 8427
Re: Nissan introduces first domestic diesel to Japan in years [altair4] by 104wb
Sep 24, 2008 (10:23 am)
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Replying to: altair4 (Sep 24, 2008 3:58 am)

You're right. I figured it out recently; 'CARB' states account for about 1/3 of the US population. Because of this large fraction, automakers won't introduce new technology in the US unless it meets CARB standards.
 
Tier2Bin5 'better' than EuroVI? No, just different. Bin5 is more stringent on NOx, less stringent on PM. The differences are enough to keep most of the clean diesels out of the US. See graph in post 6717. I grew up in the Appalachians in the 70s when cars were operating in the biggest box in that graph, and NOx / acid rain was destroying lakes and trees where I lived. The differences between bin5 and EuroVI are insignificant compared to what we had back then. The US should adopt Euro emissions at the same time Europe does so we can benefit from the 40% reduced fuel consumption that diesels offer.
#6912 of 8427
Re: CARB STANDARDS SPREAD [hypnosis44] by altair4
Sep 24, 2008 (10:25 am)
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Replying to: hypnosis44 (Sep 24, 2008 9:31 am)

Don't know about the Canadian province, but I think the following states are following CARB:
 
Connecticut, D.C., Delaware, Maine, Maryland, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas.
#6913 of 8427
Re: CARB STANDARDS SPREAD [altair4] by ruking1
Sep 24, 2008 (10:28 am)
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Replying to: altair4 (Sep 24, 2008 10:25 am)

You might have inadvertently left out the CARB leader of which four more states followed: Kali for knee ah. Many states are "me too-aka wanna be's", hence the new/old designation "50 state"
 
Suffice to say the rules and regulations keep the the passenger diesel population low.
#6914 of 8427
Re: Nissan introduces first domestic diesel to Japan in years [104wb] by kdhspyder
Sep 24, 2008 (12:48 pm)
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Replying to: 104wb (Sep 24, 2008 10:23 am)

You're right. I figured it out recently; 'CARB' states account for about 1/3 of the US population. Because of this large fraction, automakers won't introduce new technology in the US unless it meets CARB standards.
  
Tier2Bin5 'better' than EuroVI? No, just different. Bin5 is more stringent on NOx, less stringent on PM. The differences are enough to keep most of the clean diesels out of the US. See graph in post 6717. I grew up in the Appalachians in the 70s when cars were operating in the biggest box in that graph, and NOx / acid rain was destroying lakes and trees where I lived. The differences between bin5 and EuroVI are insignificant compared to what we had back then. The US should adopt Euro emissions at the same time Europe does so we can benefit from the 40% reduced fuel consumption that diesels offer.

 
Good accurate data here.
 
However from a business model perspective it doesn't make much sense to invest in new clean diesel technology at this time today.
40% is about the maximum fuel economy benefit that can be expected by driving a diesel over a gasser. However...
..there is a 5-15% premium in the cost of production and sales price of the vehicle;
..there is a 5-15% loss of efficiency due to the emissions controls as you noted;
..there is a 10-20% premium to pay for the fuel.
 
In the best case scenario that 40% fuel economy benefit is reduced to 20% but in the worst case there is a 10% penalty for buying, driving, fueling a diesel over a gasser. It appears to be at best breakeven at this time. Improving the existing gasser technology seems the less expensive/less risky route for the automakers in NA.
#6915 of 8427
Re: Nissan introduces first domestic diesel to Japan in years [kdhspyder] by ruking1
Sep 24, 2008 (12:57 pm)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Sep 24, 2008 12:48 pm)

Actually it is FAR worse for hybrid cars vs gassers such as Pruis/Civic hybrid vs Corolla/Civic gassers.The 04 Civic hybrid was 20,000 and the Civic gasser was 12,500. I am at 71,000 miles with 38-42 mpg range. 7,500 in premiums for a plain jane daily ordinary 54 mile R/T commute might be a TAD much.
 
So why are we even making noise about less fuel consumption and less foreign oil dependency when most folks subscribe to the attitude you have outlined?
 
I'd be the first to day that 38-42 mpg on a Honda Civic gasser is probably better than 80-98% of the vehicle fleet . But at the same time 48-52 mpg on a TDI ain't bad for a "fuel guzzler"
 
You will probably agree: the key is we are not REALLY serious about less fuel consumption and less foreign oil dependency!
#6916 of 8427
Re: Nissan introduces first domestic diesel to Japan in years [ruking1] by kdhspyder
Sep 24, 2008 (1:33 pm)
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Replying to: ruking1 (Sep 24, 2008 12:57 pm)

Again I was only presenting the business case from a vehicle maker's pov meaning the R&D, investments, marketing, production etc needed to promote diesels here make them a bad risk for LPVs. The vehicle makers are in business to make a profit from what will sell in a given market.
 
Now that you brought up hybrids that IS a route that vehicle makers can take in NA to both save fuel, reduce dependency on foreign oil and make a profit. The new Honda Insight $18000-$19000 will be a smashing success in this regard IMO. The Gen 3 Prius will gain 50% more sales annually than the Gen 2. The midsized auto segment is about to explode with offerings from GM, Ford and Hyundai along with the Toyotas and Nissans now being offered
 
Profits can be made here...and fuel saved.
#6917 of 8427
Composition of Retail prices of Gas vs Diesel by kdhspyder
Sep 24, 2008 (1:43 pm)
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An interesting pair of charts I stumbled across at EIA.DOE.gov.. Maybe it's well-known to some but it was new to me.
 
What goes into the price of Gasoline vs the price of Diesel
 
.............................Gas............. Diesel
Taxes.................... 11% ............ 11%
Dist & Marketing.... 10% ............ 14%
Refining................... 6% ............ 11%
Crude Oil............... 73% ............ 64%
#6918 of 8427
Re: Nissan introduces first domestic diesel to Japan in years [kdhspyder] by ruking1
Sep 24, 2008 (1:49 pm)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Sep 24, 2008 1:33 pm)

You post confirms the diesel has been and will remain the already logical choice. It is probably why the majority of hybrid advocates vilify it. Hard to sell if they do not put it on the market or let them in the country. But then again, you and I know this.
#6919 of 8427
Re: Composition of Retail prices of Gas vs Diesel [kdhspyder] by ruking1
Sep 24, 2008 (1:56 pm)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Sep 24, 2008 1:43 pm)

While your comparo is valid; again unless there are technologic break throughs, it is highly misleading. It is misleading because current technology is literally light years away from 100% of RUG (to PUG) refinement from a barrel of oil !! DIESEL (among other products) is ONE (amongst literally a plethora) necessary product of such refinement.(aka: you can not currently get RUG to PUG without diesel) Indeed RUG to PUG used to be considered a WASTE product in search of markets. In conclusion, sans technologic break throughs diesel will ALWAYS be part of the equation.
#6920 of 8427
Re: Nissan introduces first domestic diesel to Japan in years [kdhspyder] by 104wb
Sep 24, 2008 (2:03 pm)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Sep 24, 2008 12:48 pm)

I think most auto manufacturers share your conclusion, but it may be because it is easier for them to stick to what they know than to delve into the details and take risks (anything new is a risk). Tier2Bin5 being more stringent than Euro standards just makes the decision easier.
 
Minimizing costs is one important perspective for the buyer (but not the only perspective, as ruking points out). I'll agree with the 5-15% initial cost premium, while noting that the resale value / lease rate resulting from higher resale / longevity of the vehicle more than offset the initial cost. My current diesel powered vehicle is at 240,000 miles and still has considerable resale value. If I had the gasser equivalent, I'd have sold the first one at zero value and 200,000 miles, and be on my second one by now... The worst thing manufacturers of diesels could to would be to diminish the proven durability of the engine. Also in this category, the EPA is rewarding efficient lean-burn technology with a tax credit, which applies to 50-state compliant vehicles, first 60,000 of each model sold from now through CY2010. This helps offset the purchase price. Almost completely for the VW Jetta.
 Regarding emission controls, I think that 0-5% is a more realistic penalty. Urea/scr does add to initial cost, but the advantage is it does not affect efficiency. NOx converters are hands-off for the customer, but use fuel as a catalyzer.
  There is no doubt now a 5-20% premium for the fuel, which bothers me to no end, having enjoyed lower than RUG prices for so many years. I can't say if this trend will change because I don't believe all of the explanations of why the price is what it is. I believe enough of the explanations to think that diesel will now sit somewhat higher than gasoline.
So, I think 'typical' case, is that the initial investment premium is recovered, and operating costs are 15-20% reduced. When I see the industries that survive by moving product and people from point A to point B switch from diesel (or diesel hybrid) to anything else, I'll know that the cost of ownership of the diesel is no longer superior.
  Other non-financial benefits of diesels are a reduction in volume of fuel used of 35-40% (energy independence), a less volatile fuel (better well-to-tank emissions, no evap hardware required), a better bio-fuel alternative (biodiesel vs. diesel is superior to ethanol vs. gas), and a fuel that can be synthesized from many sources (algae, fungi, wood gassification, garbage gassification, etc.)
 
Personally, I'm looking ahead to diesel-hydraulic series hybrids. If we go nuclear and beef up and put redundancy in our electrical grid, then I'll get excited about electric vehicles as well.

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