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The Great Hybrid Battery Debate

669 messages,  Last post on Apr 06, 2009 at 2:32 PM

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What is this discussion about? Hybrid Cars


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#640 of 669
Re: True cost to own? [kdhspyder] by kipk
Oct 11, 2008 (5:12 am)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Oct 08, 2008 7:44 am)

>"The standard TCH is very close in equipment to the 4c XLE Camry gasser.
The respective prices are $27400 and $29200 ( both have cloth, SR but no Navi ), i.e. about an $1800 difference."

 
WHEN, a Hybrid of comparable size and weight and equipment can be bought at $1800 more than a gasser, it will be a value.
You and I both know that just ain't happening. The battery pack alone cost more than that.
 
Also the dealers are not "dealing" on the Hybrids. They are "dealing" on the gassers. If anything, they may tend to add more $1500-$2500 "Protection" to the hybrids. Such as, pin stripe, fabric protection (scotch guard), and the infamous acid rain paint protector. These items are added by the "Get Ready" department at the dealer. Biggest cost to the dealer is the wage paid to the guy spraying, washing, and stretching the tape.
 
Add to that the "Supply and demand", sticker and the "We just aren't going to deal on this one" mentality, and there is a huge difference in the price of a Hybrid and Comparably Equipped, same size vehicle. Your dealership may be different.
 
>The auction prices that I mentioned in my post were NOT the resale prices being asked to the public. They were the purchase prices being paid by professional buyers on behalf of the dealers in order to secure those vehicles. Then the vehicles had to be transported back to the buying store, prepped, financed and resold. Some stores had as many as 20-40 of these in stock and the public willingly understood that they were paying $5000 - $10000 above the original sticker."
 
There ya go !. When used ones are selling for $5000 - $10000 more than the new MSRP, How much is the price of a new one jacked up?
 
Just so we are on the same page or at least in the same book, I personally feel that the Toyota and the Honda are be best values in the automotive world. Everything considered.
 
However, right now, I don't think the Hybrids are worth the real world "Extra" cost.
 
>"Again there is no ' Break Even' point unless you are generating income with your vehicle."
 
At $5,000-$10,000 extra cost for the Hybrid, you are right. There is no ' break even' point.
 
In this case, For me, "Break Even" is : When the higher initial cost of the Hybrid is compensated for by fuel savings, the "Break Even" point is reached. It has cost as much to own one as the other. From that point, I'm saving money, until time to replace batteries or something else went wrong that is Hybrid exclusive.
 
I don't understand how/why you feel there is only "Break Even" for those using the car to generate income. Please explain !
 
Thanks,
Kip
#641 of 669
Re: True cost to own? [kipk] by kdhspyder
Oct 11, 2008 (11:10 am)
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Replying to: kipk (Oct 11, 2008 5:12 am)

The $1800 pricing difference is right off the Toyota website. There's no getting around it. What you saying about the pricing difference is incorrect because while the TCH with similar equipment does cost more than the I4 non-hybrid but it also costs less then the V6 non-hybrid by about $1000.
 
All the other stuff that you note about protection and worthless addons is only a local/regional issue. It also depends on one's ability to say 'NO'.
 
I don't understand how/why you feel there is only "Break Even" for those using the car to generate income. Please explain
 
'Break Even' is a specific accounting concept that occurs when income equals expense ( usually fixed expense ). If you are the normal retail buyer then you don't generate any income by the use of your vehicle.
 
If you were a small business ( which in fact you are with your family budget ) the correct way to do an analysis is that you or your accountant would do an analysis of two vehicles; add up all the expected expenses over the expected life of the two vehicles then you'd choose which vehicle cost you less in total expenses. That's the only valid comparo to make.
 
In almost all cases the hybrids cost less then the non-hybrid versions.
#642 of 669
Re: True cost to own? [kdhspyder] by gagrice
Oct 11, 2008 (1:04 pm)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Oct 11, 2008 11:10 am)

I checked at the first dealer on the list here in San Diego. Mossy Toyota.
All 2009 except noted:
Camry Hybrid 5 each $32,129
Camry XLE 2.4L 3 each $26,269
Camry XLE V6 one each $29,429 (2008)
Prius 11 each Start at $24,869 to $28,844
Matrix 12 each from $19,519 to $23,879 with AWD
 
That is $5860 more for the Camry hybrid over the Camry XLE 4 cyl. I cannot see ever getting the value form a hybrid in CA. Your prices may vary. We have 11 dealers and they all have similar or higher pricing.
#643 of 669
Re: True cost to own? [gagrice] by kdhspyder
Oct 12, 2008 (1:47 pm)
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Replying to: gagrice (Oct 11, 2008 1:04 pm)

It's only a matter of ordering properly. In your example you're talking about specific vehicles in stock. There can be twice that many either on order or enroute with completely different prices and equipment combos.
 
In the first two vehicles you compared a loaded TCH with leather, Navi and Sunroof to a standard XLE 4c without leather or Navi. Your comparo is the most specific of all specific cases....actual inventory on hand. There's no valid conclusion that can be drawn from looking at actual inventory on hand unless you wanted to drive away this afternoon in one.
 
That XLE V6 has to be a Used one or off-Rental vehicle. The new 2008s were gone on President's Day W/E in Feb. The current MSRP for a 2009 XLE V6 is ~$32600.
 
Go to the website. Approximate numbers
XLE V6 $32600
TCH ... $32100
XLE I4 $30800
 
The Matrix FWD with PO, KE, AA, VS and Z1 is about $20600 MSRP
The Prius Pck#2 with similar equipment is $ $24400.
 
You can get Navi in the Matrix XRS with a SR but not with Bluetooth nor with leather. However this will put you into the $25500 range as opposed to a Package #5 Prius $27900 ( Navi / No leather ).
#644 of 669
Re: True cost to own? [kdhspyder] by gagrice
Oct 12, 2008 (5:27 pm)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Oct 12, 2008 1:47 pm)

It says new 2008 XLE V6. You know how car dealers lie though .
Check out the prices. I just picked the top of the list Toyota dealer. They have 3 XLE 4C at $26k.
 
http://www.mossytoyota.com/new-inventory/vehicle-details.htm?vehicleId=fd7df9e74- 046381e013c6654b5a8df8f&useHistory=true
#645 of 669
Re: True cost to own? [gagrice] by kdhspyder
Oct 12, 2008 (6:28 pm)
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Replying to: gagrice (Oct 12, 2008 5:27 pm)

Toyota stopped making the 2008's last December.
 
My guess is that this is a 'down demo' that a manager or owner or member of the owner's family has been driving from Jan til now. It still is regarded as a 'new vehicle' since it's never been sold at retail and never titled. If it's like in VA the 'down demos' have to be parked at about 5000 miles so that they can still be sold as 'new'.
#646 of 669
Hybrid Battery Question: by Inventor
Jan 01, 2009 (3:43 pm)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Oct 12, 2008 6:28 pm)

QUESTION: The toyota Hybrid Prisu has the ni-mh battery "prismatic" module from panasonic which is 7.2 volts and only 6.5 amphours; how is that so much better than a comparative lead acid battery? IE: A lead acid battery is 13.5volt 127 amphours= 1714 watthours. IF you stack nimh modules into the normal lead acid size battery box it comes out to about 17volts only 104 amphours = 1768 watthours;
plus ni-mh modules cost massively more money?
     Can you explain this situation , are we missing something? Sure
 ni-mh lasts longer but we were under the impression that they were also much
 higher power (like 30-50% higher amphours for approximately 14volts systems).
     The "normal" standard of industry is the 20 hour rate of draining.
     Maybe they use a different rate schedule for the ni-mh (normally
 battery amphour ratings are at the 20 hour rate). In other words if a battery is
 rated at 6.5 amphours and that is the true 20 hour rate. That is the
 energy you can get from it over 20 hours. IE a 100 amphour battery means that over 20 hours you can get 5 amps steady draw for 20 hours = 100 amphours.
 Faster draining is less IE . same 100 amphour rated battery drained at 10 amps
 would only last "perhaps" 7-8 hours (its not linearly proportional).
      Thanks for any information you can give on this.
    We really thought the ni-mh was at least 30% better energy density.
  Thanks, Inventor
#648 of 669
Carried over by larsb
Jan 09, 2009 (7:24 am)
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Gary says, "We have not reached 9 years on the first gen Prius that had the batteries recalled. You do not have any statistics on how many of those batteries were replaced. I doubt Toyota would ever give that information to the public. The current Prius is barely 5 years old. Toyota will probably luck out as most people that buy them are high mileage drivers. The ones I will be watching are those that only put 10k miles per year or less. They will stretch the EPA/CARB warranty to the max. So father time has another 5 years to go."
 
First of all, the Prius is now 11 years old, as the first ones were sold in Japan in December 1997, making them now 11+ years old.
 
Second of all, I told you in the last post that the Gen I Prius "recall" was merely to reseal the battery terminals. They had nothing to do with the performance or failure of the battery.
 
You are right about a lot of things Gary, and I like discussing things with you. But you are wrong about these batteries.
#649 of 669
Re: Carried over [larsb] by gagrice
Jan 09, 2009 (8:54 am)
Reply

Replying to: larsb (Jan 09, 2009 7:24 am)

First of all, the Prius is now 11 years old, as the first ones were sold in Japan in December 1997, making them now 11+ years old.
 

Kind of hard to prove that when Japan's average car is only 6.6 years old. I don't know the actual number of first gen Prius sold here. It had to be very small numbers. The real test will be when the big selling 2nd gen Prius starts to age. 5 years down and counting.
 
This all started with my question of longevity on Li-Ion which has a HORRIBLE life span history in laptop computers. Cell phones, who keeps one more than 3 years? My last two laptops out of 6 I have owned were Li-Ion. My current one just passed 3 years and out of warranty. The battery does not last more than an hour now. It would go 4 hours when new. My first Dell laptop using Li-Ion went through 2 batteries in less than 3 years. These are Identical to the 6000+ AA cells in the Tesla. I look for the early innovators to start screaming in about a year from now.

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