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The Great Hybrid Battery Debate

669 messages,  Last post on Apr 06, 2009 at 2:32 PM

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#626 of 669
Re: From another forum - CONTINUED !! [kdhspyder] by gagrice
Jul 08, 2008 (9:07 pm)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Jul 08, 2008 7:51 pm)

There is however beginning to be a volume of proof that mileage has no bearing on the performance of the batteries. 250,000 miles or 300,000 miles seems very very likely. We shall soon see with my friend Mr Carbot who just turned over 203,000 miles. That's the 2nd Prius he purchased from me. I'm chasing him but I'm far behind at 30 months ( 81,000 mi ) while he's at 54 months ( 203,000 mi ). He will likely reach 250,000 - 260,000 by the time his Gen 3 arrives next summer
 
All nice mileage figures. There is a 900k mile Mercedes Sprinter still going in Germany. That again has nothing to do with aging gracefully. I don't think the hybrids will have that luxury.
 
Now that the mileage question is put to rest
 
Mileage has never been a consideration in my buying a vehicle EVER. It has always been longevity. It was longevity on this forum when the Prius first came to San Diego. When we see Prius of any ilk still going strong with good MPG when they are 10 years old I will be convinced. Nothing you or Larsb have said gives me a warm feeling about the longevity of a hybrid. The only thing I see with a vehicle that is 3 years old and 100k miles is some poor slob that spends too much of his life behind the wheel of a car. Risking my life 10k miles per year is plenty.
 
We can come back to this in 5 years if you like...
#627 of 669
Re: From another forum - CONTINUED !! [gagrice] by avalon02wh
Jul 13, 2008 (6:13 am)
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Replying to: gagrice (Jul 08, 2008 1:40 pm)

"That has been one of the sticking points in my mind since the hybrid hit the streets. For those of us conservative drivers will the hybrid be a good "green" long term purchase? If it needs a new battery after 10 years the answer is a resounding NO! "
 
You are not a conservative driver/purchaser. You need to check the definition of the word conservative.
 
You bought a Sequoia which uses
$4102 dollars of fuels per year,
Needs 22.8 Barrels of oil per year,
Emits 12.2 tons of CO2 per year, and
Has an air pollution score of 3
 
And you are worried about the batteries on a Prius lasting 10 years!
 
How much value is left in that Sequoia now that fuel prices are high?
Trade in 2007 Sequoia, 15,000 miles = $18,200
Trade in 2007 Prius, 15,000 miles = $25,225
 
If I was a Prius owner I'd be shaking in my boots about spending a few thousand dollars on batteries in ten years. [Bob Newhart ] Those of you that bought a Sequoia, on the other hand, watched your SUV drop $15,000 to $20,000 in depreciation in just two years.
 
Let's get down to the root issue about the Prius. There is a whole segment of people that just can't handle saving fuel because, well let me quote the following;
 
"Now, more than ever, we need Hummer, in all its defiant, obnoxious, thoroughly American glory. "
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/07/11/AR2008071102535.- html
 
The battery issue is just a smoke screen brought up by people that just cannot stomach a fuel efficient or environmentally friendly vehicle. We can't have the "Terminator" driving around in a battery powered car, can we? Its just not American, or at least their definition of American.
#628 of 669
Re: From another forum - CONTINUED !! [avalon02wh] by gagrice
Jul 13, 2008 (7:22 am)
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Replying to: avalon02wh (Jul 13, 2008 6:13 am)

You bought a Sequoia which uses
$4102 dollars of fuels per year,
Needs 22.8 Barrels of oil per year,
Emits 12.2 tons of CO2 per year, and
Has an air pollution score of 3
  
And you are worried about the batteries on a Prius lasting 10 years!

 
You do make a lot of assumptions in your posts. First our Sequoia only has 5700 miles after 10 months of use including one trip to AZ and several trips to the desert. The car we use the most is our 1990 LS400 that is nearing the 95k mile mark on the Odo. What are the odds that we could have kept a Prius for 19 years with nothing major failing?

Let's get down to the root issue about the Prius. There is a whole segment of people that just can't handle saving fuel

 
Again you are assuming that is me. If you could go back on this site to 1998 you would have found my first posts were in search of a more fuel efficient PU truck. Ten years later there are still NO decent fuel efficient PU trucks sold in the USA. Every other country in the world have diesel PU trucks getting 30-45 MPG except US. So maybe it is contrarian position when we buy big SUVs in this country. It just may be we are trying to tell our flaky government that we are unhappy with their ignorant regulations and tariffs (aka as chicken tax).
 
Yes the Sequoia dropped $10k before it ever left the dealers lot. And they are the ones that took that loss. I am patient and will find someone that just has to have a 2007 Sequoia Limited 4X4 that is loaded after I get a diesel SUV that I like. I beat the odds with the GMC Hybrid PU by waiting. It was worth $7000 more than the GMC dealer would offer me.
 
So I am not worried nearly as much as I would with the clock ticking on that Prius Battery life.
 
We will know more in 5+ years about hybrid battery longevity.
 
Gas to date on 07 Sequoia $1248.73. Just filled so good for a safe motoring 300 miles
#629 of 669
Finally, some CONCRETE battery cost information by larsb
Sep 24, 2008 (1:01 pm)
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Prius Battery replacement costs announced:
 
Not $4000
 
Also at the seminar, Toyota announced a price cut for replacement battery packs for its Prius hybrids. Built in a joint venture with Panasonic, the replacement battery for the first-generation Prius costs $2,299; for the second-generation model, the cost is $2,588. The replacement nickel-metal-hydride batteries previously cost $2,985 for either variety. There are more than 600,000 of the hybrids on the road. Prices are for replacements after the warranty expires. The original-equipment batteries carry a 10-year/150,000-mile warranty in California-compliant states and an eight-year/80,000-mile warranty elsewhere.
 
So now the "out of warranty" owners can start budgeting.
#630 of 669
Re: Finally, some CONCRETE battery cost information [larsb] by kdhspyder
Sep 24, 2008 (1:20 pm)
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Replying to: larsb (Sep 24, 2008 1:01 pm)

I hit 90,000 miles yesterday in 34 months. VA is a Fed Warranty state.
#631 of 669
Re: Finally, some CONCRETE battery cost information [larsb] by gagrice
Sep 24, 2008 (5:09 pm)
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Replying to: larsb (Sep 24, 2008 1:01 pm)

Does that price include the core rebate? If it is like most dealers, you will get a different price at 10 different dealers. Plus what is the labor charge to replace and re-program the computer? Based on the cost of an oil change at Toyota, that could be a grand or more.
#632 of 669
The Batteries in Hybrid Cars by motoracer44
Oct 03, 2008 (5:19 pm)
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I hope someone can help. I just read this short article at ButteryBlend.com that talks about new Lithium Iron Phosphate batteries that will revolutionize hybrid cars. What do they use now? Lithium Cobalt Oxide batteries? Awesome article none the less. Thanks for the time.
#633 of 669
Re: Finally, some CONCRETE battery cost information [gagrice] by kdhspyder
Oct 04, 2008 (4:25 am)
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Replying to: gagrice (Sep 24, 2008 5:09 pm)

Those prices are the walkup full retail prices at the Parts Desk, sans labor or old battery rebate ( $200 ). Over on PriusChat I read that a swap in and out takes about 4 hours or about $500 in labor. Also over there I read that one dealer is offering the batteries under $2000 already.
 
If the cost of labor for the swap is based on the cost of oil changes here then the price would be FREE...
#634 of 669
Re: Finally, some CONCRETE battery cost information [kdhspyder] by gagrice
Oct 04, 2008 (8:32 am)
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Replying to: kdhspyder (Oct 04, 2008 4:25 am)

Not at my dealership. It cost $64.60 for the 5000 mile oil and filter change. Using cheapo 30 weight dino oil. It was $70 more for synthetic. It will be my last service at Toyota for sure. GMC across the street sent me free oil change coupons on my GMC PU truck. In 13k miles I never paid a penny for service.
 
So in CA I would expect a battery change for a Prius to top $5,000 easy. Maybe more.
#635 of 669
True cost to own? by kipk
Oct 07, 2008 (5:27 am)
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Has anyone actually figured the "Break Even" cost of Hybrid vs Conventional with equal amenities.
 
Talking about initial difference of purchase price. A while back I compared the MSRP of a Civic Hybrid vs a comparably equipped conventional engined Civic. Seems the difference was in the $5k range. Another factor to consider is that dealers are most likely more willing to "deal" in a conventional engined car. But for the purposes of this post, consider a $4k difference.
 
Example: At 7%, Financing a $24K car loan for 72 months would cost $447.59 monthly, $32,226 total cost. While financing $20K would be $373 monthly, $26855 total cost. $5371 extra total for the Hybrid.
 
At 15K miles a year, Simple math says over the 72 months the 45 average mpg hybrid will use 2, 000 gallon of fuel. While a 32 mph conventional car would burn 2,812 gallons. Hybrid saves 812 gallons of fuel.
 
At $4 per gallon the hybrid would save $3248 in fuel cost. At $5 the hybrid would save $4060 in fuel. So it seems the break even point would be much longer than 6 years and 90K miles for the typical driver.
 
This is assuming nothing goes wrong with the batteries or any of the other components that operate the "Hybrid" system. So far we have only been told that the batteries last a long time. What about the other "Hybrid" components?
 
Obviously more complicated math than I've used here would fall into play. Figuring in if the fuel saved each month was used to buy CDs and so forth.
 
Kip

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